CVoter

Centre for Voting Opinion & Trends in Election Research, or CVoter, is an International polling agency with headquarters in India. Yashwant Deshmukh is the managing director and chief editor.^[1] In the 2016 US Presidential election, as per the NBC "The UPI/CVoter poll is one of two mainstream polls that often predicted a Trump victory or shown a nearly tied election (the other is the University of Southern California/ Los Angeles Times poll)".^[2]

CVoter India states that it has covered 15 union budgets, more than 100 state elections and more than 30 international events. Since 2000 it has worked with Times Now, ANN7,^[3] United Press International,^[4] Reuters, Bloomberg News, BBC News, Aaj Tak, Star News Asia, Zee News, Zee Business, the Development and Educational Communication Unit of the Indian Space Research Organisation, India TV, Lok Sabha TV, UTVi business news channel (owned by UTV Software Communications), Sahara Samay (owned by Sahara India Pariwar), Jain TV, Asianet, ETV, CNEB and other news and information providers.^[1][5] Studies have included market research,^[6][7] conflict resolution research,^[8] and opinion polls.^{[9][10][11][12]}

May 2016 saw elections in Bengal, Assam, Tamil Nadu and Kerala. CVoter was the only one of five polling agencies to predict the Tamil Nadu outcome correctly.^[13]

2016 USA Elections

Poll source	Date	Hillary Clinton Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Leading by %	Sample size	Margin of error
UPI/CVoter[14]	October 3–9, 2016	49%	44%	5	1,801	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[15]	September 30 – October 6, 2016	48%	47%	1	1,774	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[16]	September 28 – October 4, 2016	47%	48%	1	1,274	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[17]	September 26 – October 2, 2016	47%	49%	2	1,285	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[18]	September 23–29, 2016	47%	49%	2	1,236	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[19]	September 21–27, 2016	48%	48%	Tied	1,239	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[20]	September 19–25, 2016	48%	47%	1	1,052	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[21]	September 12–18, 2016	48%	47%	1	1,203	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[22]	September 10–16, 2016	47%	47%	Tied	1,246	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[23]	September 9–15, 2016	47%	48%	1	1,229	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[24]	September 8–14, 2016	47%	48%	1	1,265	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[25]	September 7–13, 2016	47%	48%	1	1,245	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[26]	September 6–12, 2016	46%	49%	3	1,232	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[27]	September 5–11, 2016	46%	49%	3	1,260	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[28]	September 2–8, 2016	46%	48%	2	1,256	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[29]	September 1–7, 2016	47%	48%	1	1,226	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[30]	August 31 – September 6, 2016	47%	47%	Tied	1,262	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[31]	August 30 – September 5, 2016	48%	46%	2	1,220	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[32]	August 29 – September 4, 2016	49%	47%	2	1,237	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[33]	August 28 – September 3, 2016	49%	46%	3	1,242	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[34]	August 24–30, 2016	49%	46%	3	1,162	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[35]	August 23–29, 2016	50%	47%	3	1,173	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[36]	August 22–28, 2016	50%	47%	3	1,145	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[37]	August 21–27, 2016	50%	47%	3	1,682	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[38]	August 18–24, 2016	48%	49%	1	1,720	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[39]	August 17–23, 2016	48%	48%	Tied	1,737	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[40]	August 16–22, 2016	48%	48%	Tied	1,752	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[41]	August 15–21, 2016	48%	47%	1	1,795	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[42]	August 14–20, 2016	48%	47%	1	1,191	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[43]	August 11–17, 2016	50%	46%	4	1,009	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[44]	August 9–16, 2016	51%	44%	7	1,069	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[45]	August 9–15, 2016	51%	44%	7	1,035	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[46]	August 7–14, 2016	50%	45%	5	975	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[47]	August 7–13, 2016	49%	46%	3	1,403	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[48]	August 3–10, 2016	49%	45%	4	1,077	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[49]	August 3–9, 2016	48%	46%	2	1,002	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[50]	August 2–8, 2016	49%	45%	4	993	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[51]	August 1–7, 2016	49%	44%	5	1,407	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[52]	July 31 – August 6, 2016	50%	43%	7	1,036	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[53]	July 29 – August 4, 2016	50%	44%	6	1,060	± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[54]	July 27 – August 2, 2016	49%	46%	3	989	± 3.0%

2009 Indian general elections

The CVoter exit poll projections for India TV showed the UPA with 189–201 seats. It gives the Congress 149–155, the DMK between 9 and 13, the NCP 12–16 and the Trinamool between 12 and 16. The poll showed the BJP-led Front getting between 183 and 195 seats. It includes the BJP (140–146), the JD (U) 17–21.^[55] In the end, in Indian general election, 2009, UPA got 262 (Congress – 206) and NDA 159 (BJP – 116).

2004 Indian general elections

The CVoter exit poll projections for Star News predicted NDA getting between 267–279 and Congress+Allies between 169–181.^[56][57] In the end, in Indian general election, 2004, Congress+Allies(UPA) got 218 (Congress 145) and NDA got 181 (BJP – 138).

2014 Indian general elections

CVoter carried out Tracking polls for India's leading News Networks Times Now; India Today & India TV. A television news channel claimed in a sting operation conducted by it that some of the agencies which conduct opinion polls before elections are willing to tweak their findings for money. It included global giants like Ipsos and CVoter. Initially India Today Group suspended its CVoter contract.^[58][59] However the promoters of "News Express" channel called "Sai Prasad Group"^{[60][61][62][62]} itself got seriously criticised for a string of money laundering cases pursued by multiple Government probing agencies. After series of inquiries and audits; the allegations were found animated and politically motivated^[63] as the Channel was supported by the ruling political party which was shown trailing badly in these opinion polls.^[64] The CVoter Exit Polls were duly carried by India TV and Time Now and all major regional networks of India.

References

1. "About Us - Team CVoter". C Voter. Retrieved 6 April 2014.
2. http://www.nbcconnecticut.com/news/politics/Quick-Dirty-Guide-Polls-2016-Elections-396973901.html
3. http://www.ann7.com/tracker-predicts-anc-victory/
4. http://www.upi.com/Top_News/US/2016/09/14/UPICVoter-poll-Donald-Trump-maintains-3-point-lead-over-Hillary-Clinton/5431473871505/ http://www.upi.com/Top_News/US/2016/09/12/UPICVoter-poll-Donald-Trump-widens-lead-over-Hillary-Clinton-to-3-points/1571473691414/
5. "Clients - Team CVoter". C Voter. Retrieved 10 May 2014.
6. http://indiatoday.intoday.in/story/deepika-padukone-priyanka-chopra-katrina-kaif-kareena-kapoor-anushka-sharma-bollywood-actor-survey/1/749430.html
7. http://indiatoday.intoday.in/story/salman-shah-rukh-popular-actor-bollywood-mood-of-the-nation-survey/1/749440.html
8. http://www.peacepolls.org/cgi-bin/generic?instanceID=17
9. http://assemblyelectionsindia.com/india-tv-cvoter-survey-up-election-result-polls/
10. http://www.indiatvnews.com/politics/national-india-tv-cvoter-survey-bjp-sp-neck-and-neck-bsp-third-in-up-assembly-poll-stakes-346408
11. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3qCtTF8rgaA
12. http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/AAP-may-win-94-100-of-117-Punjab-assembly-seats-HuffPost-CVoter-survey/articleshow/51640505.cms
13. http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/elections-2016/tamil-nadu-elections-2016/news/CVoter-is-only-exit-poll-to-get-it-right-in-Tamil-Nadu/articleshow/52343239.cms
14. "UPI/CVoter poll: Hillary Clinton pulls into 5-point lead over Donald Trump". Team CVoter. UPI. October 10, 2016. Retrieved October 10, 2016.
15. "UPI/CVoter poll: Clinton retakes lead with post-debate bump". Team CVoter. UPI. October 8, 2016. Retrieved October 9, 2016.
16. "UPI/CVoter poll: Donald Trump's lead over Hillary Clinton tightens to less than a point". Team CVoter. UPI. October 5, 2016. Retrieved October 5, 2016.
17. "UPI/CVoter poll: Donald Trump leads Hillary Clinton by 2.5 points". Team CVoter. UPI. October 3, 2016. Retrieved October 3, 2016.
18. "UPI/CVoter poll: Trump regains lead over Clinton as September ends". Team CVoter. UPI. October 1, 2016. Retrieved October 1, 2016.
19. "UPI/CVoter: Hillary Clinton regains slight lead in first post-debate poll". Team CVoter. UPI. September 28, 2016. Retrieved September 29, 2016.
20. "UPI/CVoter poll: Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump in virtual tie heading into first debate". Team CVoter. UPI. September 26, 2016. Retrieved September 26, 2016.
21. "UPI/CVoter poll: Hillary Clinton holds 1.18% lead over Donald Trump". Team CVoter. UPI. September 21, 2016. Retrieved September 22, 2016.
22. "UPI/CVoter poll: Hillary Clinton reclaims slight lead over Donald Trump". Team CVoter. UPI. September 17, 2016. Retrieved September 20, 2016.
23. "UPI/CVoter poll: Donald Trump holds lead over Hillary Clinton for 11th day". Team CVoter. UPI. September 17, 2016. Retrieved September 17, 2016.
24. "UPI/CVoter poll: Donald Trump maintains steady 1 point lead over Hillary Clinton". Team CVoter. UPI. September 16, 2016. Retrieved September 16, 2016.
25. "UPI/CVoter poll: Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton pull back into virtual tie". Team CVoter. UPI. September 15, 2016. Retrieved September 15, 2016.
26. "UPI/CVoter poll: Donald Trump maintains 3-point lead over Hillary Clinton". Team CVoter. UPI. September 14, 2016. Retrieved September 15, 2016.
27. "UPI/CVoter poll: Donald Trump widens lead over Hillary Clinton to 3 points". Team CVoter. UPI. September 12, 2016. Retrieved September 12, 2016.
28. "UPI/CVoter poll: Donald Trump widens lead over Hillary Clinton to 2 points". Team CVoter. UPI. September 11, 2016. Retrieved September 11, 2016.
29. "UPI/CVoter: Donald Trump maintains 1 point lead over Hillary Clinton". Team CVoter. UPI. September 10, 2016. Retrieved September 10, 2016.
30. "UPI/CVoter poll: Donald Trump pushes ahead of Hillary Clinton". Team CVoter. UPI. September 8, 2016. Retrieved September 9, 2016.
31. "UPI/CVoter poll: Hillary Clinton has 2-point lead over Donald Trump". Team CVoter. UPI. September 7, 2016. Retrieved September 8, 2016.
32. "UPI/CVoter poll: Hillary Clinton holds lead over Donald Trump". Team CVoter. UPI. September 6, 2016. Retrieved September 6, 2016.
33. "UPI/CVoter poll: Hillary Clinton edges out Donald Trump with 3.85-point lead". Team CVoter. UPI. September 5, 2016. Retrieved September 6, 2016.
34. "UPI/CVoter poll: Hillary Clinton has 2.8-point lead over Donald Trump". Team CVoter. UPI. September 1, 2016. Retrieved September 2, 2016.
35. "UPI/CVoter poll: Hillary Clinton maintains 2.7-point lead over Donald Trump". Team CVoter. UPI. August 30, 2016. Retrieved September 1, 2016.
36. "UPI/CVoter poll: Hillary Clinton maintains 3.1-point lead over Donald Trump". Team CVoter. UPI. August 30, 2016. Retrieved August 30, 2016.
37. "UUPI/CVoter poll: Hillary Clinton regains lead over Donald Trump". Team CVoter. UPI. August 29, 2016. Retrieved August 29, 2016.
38. "UPI/CVoter poll: Donald Trump maintains slim lead over Hillary Clinton". Team CVoter. UPI. August 26, 2016. Retrieved August 27, 2016.
39. "UPI/CVoter poll: Donald Trump leading Hillary Clinton for first time in weeks". Team CVoter. UPI. August 25, 2016. Retrieved August 26, 2016.
40. "UPI/CVoter poll: Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump remain within 1 percentage point". Team CVoter. UPI. August 24, 2016. Retrieved August 24, 2016.
41. "UPI/CVoter poll: Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump hold steady in virtual tie". Team CVoter. UPI. August 23, 2016. Retrieved August 24, 2016.
42. "UPI/CVoter poll: Donald Trump sticks to script, comes to within 1% of Hillary Clinton's lead". Team CVoter. UPI. August 22, 2016. Retrieved August 22, 2016.
43. "UPI/CVoter poll: Hillary Clinton's lead over Donald Trump narrows". Team CVoter. UPI. August 19, 2016. Retrieved August 20, 2016.
44. "UPI/CVoter poll: Hillary Clinton maintains steady lead over Donald Trump". Team CVoter. UPI. August 18, 2016. Retrieved August 19, 2016.
45. "UPI/CVoter poll: Hillary Clinton gains as Donald Trump slides". Team CVoter. UPI. August 17, 2016. Retrieved August 18, 2016.
46. "UPI/CVoter poll: Hillary Clinton builds on lead over Donald Trump". Team CVoter. UPI. August 16, 2016. Retrieved August 17, 2016.
47. "UPI/CVoter poll: Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump by 3.5 points". Team CVoter. UPI. August 15, 2016. Retrieved August 15, 2016.
48. "UPI/CVoter poll: Hillary Clinton rebounds after 3 days of lost ground". Team CVoter. UPI. August 12, 2016. Retrieved August 12, 2016.
49. "UPI/CVoter poll: Trump cuts Clinton's lead to pre-convention levels". Team CVoter. UPI. August 11, 2016. Retrieved August 11, 2016.
50. "UPI/CVoter poll: Trump stabilizes standing for a second consecutive day". Team CVoter. UPI. August 10, 2016. Retrieved August 11, 2016.
51. "UPI/CVoter poll: Donald Trump stops the bleeding for a day". Team CVoter. UPI. August 9, 2016. Retrieved August 9, 2016.
52. "UPI/CVoter daily poll: Clinton maintains 7-point lead over Trump". Team CVoter. UPI. August 8, 2016.
53. "UPI/CVoter poll: Clinton continues gaining ground at Trump's expense". Team CVoter. UPI. August 5, 2016.
54. "UPI/CVoter Poll". Team CVoter. UPI. Retrieved August 4, 2016.
55. "2009 India TV-C-Voter exit poll".
56. "2004 Star News-C-Voter exit poll".
57. "How polls got it wrong".
58. "India Today Group suspends CVoter poll following sting". LiveMint. 25 February 2014. Retrieved 6 April 2014.
59. "Pollsters ready to manipulate surveys for a price: TV report".
60. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fZxUI8Opx0k. Missing or empty |title= (help)
61. http://www.samachar.com/Promoter-of-sting-channel-under-govt-probe-for-irregularities-oc0fK7efjba.html. Missing or empty |title= (help)
62. http://www.business-standard.com/article/markets/sai-prasad-group-s-activities-under-multi-agency-probe-113012500058_1.html. Missing or empty |title= (help)
63. http://www.business-standard.com/article/pti-stories/sebi-orders-sai-prasad-corp-to-refund-rs-615-cr-to-investors-116020201396_1.html
64. http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/city/raipur/Sai-Prasad-finance-co-director-held-for-investment-fraud/articleshow/48966464.cms