Historical rankings of Prime Ministers of the United Kingdom

The Times constructed a poll for the first time of all British Prime Ministers in the lead-up to the 2010 general election. Before this there were two polls in 1999 and 2000, carried out by BBC Radio 4 and the British Politics Group; both consulted only a relatively small number of experts. A wider-reaching poll was conducted in 2004 by the University of Leeds and Ipsos MORI. All rankings involved only prime ministers from the 20th and 21st centuries, with no coverage for the other 31 pre-20th-century Prime Ministers.

2010 University of Leeds survey of postwar PMs

Clement Attlee is highly rated for his post-war leadership and social reforms.

In 2010, the University of Leeds and Woodnewton Associates carried out a survey of 106 academics who specialised in British politics or British history, to rank the performance of all 12 prime ministers who served between 1945 and 2010. Churchill's ranking was thus determined from his second term only.[1][2]

# Prime Minister Years in Office Political party
1 Sir Winston Churchill (1940–1945), 1951–1955 Conservative
2 Margaret Thatcher 1979–1990 Conservative
3 Tony Blair 1997–2007 Labour
4 Harold Macmillan 1957–1963 Conservative
5 Harold Wilson 1964–1970, 1974–1976 Labour
6 Clement Attlee 1945–1951 Labour
7 James Callaghan 1976–1979 Labour
8 John Major 1990–1997 Conservative
9 Edward Heath 1970–1974 Conservative
10 Gordon Brown 2007–2010 Labour
11 Sir Alec Douglas-Home 1963–1964 Conservative
12 Sir Anthony Eden 1955–1957 Conservative

Mori/University of Leeds survey

In 2004, the University of Leeds and Ipsos Mori conducted an online survey of 258 academics who specialised in 20th-century British history and/or politics. There were 139 replies to the survey, a return rate of 54% — by far the most extensive survey done so far. The respondents were asked, among other historical questions, to rate all the 20th-century British Prime Ministers in terms of their success and asking them to assess the key characteristics of successful PMs.

Respondents were asked to indicate on a scale of 0 to 10 how successful or unsuccessful they considered each PM to have been in office (with 0 being highly unsuccessful and 10 highly successful). A mean of the scores could then be calculated and a league table based on the mean scores.[3]

The five Labour Prime Ministers were, on average, judged to have been the most successful, with a mean of 6.0 (median of 5.9). The three Liberal PMs averaged 5.8 (median of 6.2) and the twelve Conservative PMs 4.8 (median of 4.1).

20th century Prime Ministers by average scholar rank
# Prime Minister Years in Office Political party Mean Score
1 Clement Attlee 1945–1951 Labour 8.3
2 Sir Winston Churchill 1940–1945, 1951–1955 Conservative 7.9
3 David Lloyd George 1916–1922 Liberal 7.3
4 Margaret Thatcher 1979–1990 Conservative 7.1
5 Harold Macmillan 1957–1963 Conservative 6.5
6 Tony Blair 1997–2007* Labour 6.3
7 H. H. Asquith 1908–1916 Liberal 6.2
8 Stanley Baldwin 1923–1924,1924–1929, 1935–1937 Conservative 6.2
9 Harold Wilson 1964–1970, 1974–1976 Labour 5.9
10 Lord Salisbury 1895–1902 Conservative 5.8
11 Sir Henry Campbell-Bannerman 1905–1908 Liberal 5.0
12 James Callaghan 1976–1979 Labour 4.8
13 Edward Heath 1970–1974 Conservative 4.4
14 Ramsay MacDonald 1924, 1929–1935 Labour 3.7
15 John Major 1990–1997 Conservative 3.7
16 Andrew Bonar Law 1922–1923 Conservative 3.5
17 Neville Chamberlain 1937–1940 Conservative 3.4
18 Arthur Balfour 1902–1905 Conservative 3.4
19 Sir Alec Douglas-Home 1963–1964 Conservative 3.3
20 Sir Anthony Eden 1955–1957 Conservative 2.5

Royal Holloway study of MPs' evaluations of PMs

In 2013, a group of academic staff and students at Royal Holloway, University of London conducted a postal survey of British Members of Parliament, asking them to evaluate the success of postwar British prime ministers. Some 158 MPs replied to the survey, a response rate of 24%. The respondents included 69 Conservatives, 67 Labour MPs, 14 Liberal Democrats and 8 MPs from other parties.[4]

The survey used the same question employed in the 2004 and 2010 University of Leeds studies: MPs were asked how successful or unsuccessful they considered each prime minister to have been using a 0 to 10 scale, where 0 meant highly unsuccessful and 10 meant highly successful.

Overall, MPs rated Margaret Thatcher as the most successful postwar prime minister, just ahead of Clement Attlee. With the exception of Edward Heath, who was judged more favourably by Labour MPs than by Conservatives, evaluations were split along party lines: Tory MPs tended to consider Conservative prime ministers to be more successful than did Labour MPs, and Labour MPs generally gave their prime ministers higher scores than did Conservative MPs.

# Prime Minister Years in Office Political Party Mean score
1 Margaret Thatcher 1979–1990 Conservative 7.4
2 Clement Attlee 1945–1951 Labour 7.3
3 Tony Blair 1997–2007 Labour 6.8
4 Sir Winston Churchill 1951–1955 Conservative 6.5
5 Harold Macmillan 1957–1963 Conservative 6.1
6 Harold Wilson 1964–1970, 1974–1976 Labour 5.8
7 John Major 1992–1997 Conservative 5.3
8 James Callaghan 1976–1979 Labour 4.4
9 Edward Heath 1970–1974 Conservative 4.4
10 Sir Alec Douglas-Home 1963–1964 Conservative 4.0
11 Sir Anthony Eden 1955–1957 Conservative 3.7
12 Gordon Brown 2007–2010 Labour 3.3

Previous surveys

BBC Radio 4 Poll

Sir Winston Churchill is a stalwart favourite of scholars and the public alike for his leadership during the Second World War.

In December 1999 a BBC Radio 4 poll of 20 prominent historians, politicians and commentators for The Westminster Hour produced the verdict that Churchill was the best British Prime Minister of the 20th century, with Lloyd George in second place and Clement Attlee in third place. As Blair was still in office he was not ranked. The worst PM in that survey was judged to be Anthony Eden.[5]

  1. Churchill (Con)
  2. Lloyd George (Lib)
  3. Attlee (Lab)
  4. Asquith (Lib)
  5. Thatcher (Con)
  6. Macmillan (Con)
  7. Salisbury (Con)
  8. Baldwin (Con)
  9. Campbell-Bannerman (Lib)
  10. Wilson (Lab)
  11. Heath (Con)
  12. Callaghan (Lab)
  13. Bonar Law (Con)
  14. MacDonald (Lab)
  15. Douglas-Home (Con)
  16. Balfour (Con)
  17. Major (Con)
  18. Chamberlain (Con)
  19. Eden (Con)

BBC History Magazine list

Margaret Thatcher has fared well in popular opinion polls.
Anthony Eden has not fared well in popular opinion polls and historical rankings of 20th century Prime Ministers.

Historian Francis Beckett ranked the 20th-century Prime Ministers with points out of five in 2006, based on how well the leaders implemented their policies — not on the policies themselves. Margaret Thatcher and Clement Attlee shared the highest ranking.[6]

5: Clement Attlee
5: Margaret Thatcher
4: Winston Churchill
4: Sir Henry Campbell-Bannerman
4: Edward Heath
4: Harold Macmillan
3: Herbert Henry Asquith
3: Stanley Baldwin
3: Tony Blair
3: David Lloyd George
3: Robert Arthur Talbot Gascoyne-Cecil, Lord Salisbury
3: James Harold Wilson
2: Arthur James Balfour
2: James Callaghan
1: Sir Alec Douglas-Home
1: Andrew Bonar Law
1: James Ramsay MacDonald
1: John Major
0: Neville Chamberlain
0: Robert Anthony Eden

Popular opinion

Newsnight poll

In September 2008 the BBC Newsnight programme conducted an online poll. Asking voters to decide who they thought was the greatest and worst of postwar Prime Ministers. 27,000 people responded, and decided that Winston Churchill was the greatest, with Attlee second, and then incumbent Gordon Brown last.[7]

Harold Macmillan

The full results were:

1. Winston Churchill
2. Clement Attlee
3. Margaret Thatcher
4. Harold Macmillan
5. Harold Wilson
6. Tony Blair
7. Edward Heath
8. John Major
9. James Callaghan
10. Alec Douglas-Home
11. Anthony Eden
12. Gordon Brown

Other polls

In a BBC poll to find the 100 Greatest Britons in 2002, five Prime Ministers were ranked in the top 100. Winston Churchill was voted greatest Briton, Arthur Wellesley, 1st Duke of Wellington was in 15th place, (though not featured in contemporary polls, as he was a 19th-century politician), Margaret Thatcher was in 16th place, Tony Blair was 67th and David Lloyd George was 79th.[8]

The BBC television programme The Daily Politics asked viewers in 2007 to select their favourite Prime Minister. Margaret Thatcher topped the list with 49% of the vote, with Clement Attlee coming second with 32%.[9]

Prime ministers ranked by The Times and its correspondents
# Name Party Term in office The Times overall [10] Matthew Parris [11] Peter Riddell [12] Ben MacIntyre [13]
11Robert WalpoleWhig1721–174209141607
22Spencer Compton, 1st Earl of WilmingtonWhig1742–1743505142
33Henry PelhamWhig1743–175429193420
44
6
Thomas Pelham-Holles, 1st Duke of Newcastle-upon-TyneWhig1754–1756
1757–1762
41403241
55William Cavendish, 4th Duke of DevonshireWhig1756–175744354447
67John Stuart, 3rd Earl of ButeTory1762–176346444940
78George GrenvilleWhig1763–176548514839
89
13
Charles Watson-Wentworth, 2nd Marquess of RockinghamWhig1765–1766
1782
32304238
910William Pitt, 1st Earl of ChathamWhig1766–176816251418
1011Augustus FitzRoy, 3rd Duke of GraftonWhig1768–177049425049
1112Frederick North, Lord NorthTory1770–178250493744
1214William Petty, 2nd Earl of ShelburneWhig1782–178326294105
1315
20
William Cavendish-Bentinck, 3rd Duke of PortlandWhig1783
1807–1809
39274337
1416
18
William Pitt the YoungerTory1783–1801
1804–1806
04120503
1517Henry Addington, 1st Viscount SidmouthTory1801–180439363936
1619William Grenville, 1st Baron GrenvilleWhig1806–180743394035
1721Spencer PercevalTory1809–181236384733
1822Robert Jenkinson, 2nd Earl of LiverpoolTory1812–182719222215
1923George CanningTory182731083623
2024Frederick John Robinson, 1st Viscount GoderichTory1827–1828375251
2125
28
Arthur Wellesley, 1st Duke of WellingtonTory1828–1830
1834
24183017
2226Charles Grey, 2nd Earl GreyWhig1830–183408091006
2327
30
William Lamb, 2nd Viscount MelbourneWhig1834
1835–1841
25262132
2429
31
Robert PeelConservative1834–1835
1841–1846
06060808
2532
38
John Russell, 1st Earl RussellWhig1846–185221152914
2633
36
39
Edward Smith-Stanley, 14th Earl of DerbyConservative1852
1858–1859
1866–1868
18231916
2734George Hamilton-Gordon, 4th Earl of Aberdeen Peelite1852–185542413143
2835
37
Henry John Temple, 3rd Viscount PalmerstonWhig
Liberal
1855–1858
1859–1865
13112011
2940
42
Benjamin DisraeliConservative1868
1874–1880
10070609
3041
43
45
47
William Ewart GladstoneLiberal1868–1874
1880–1885
1886
1892–1894
03040204
3144
46
49
Robert Cecil, 3rd Marquess of SalisburyConservative1885–1886
1886–1892
1895–1902
11101225
3248Archibald Primrose, 5th Earl of RoseberyLiberal1894–189545464650
3350Arthur BalfourConservative1902–190530283831
3451Henry Campbell-BannermanLiberal1905–190822242630
3552H. H. AsquithLiberal1908–191611210926
3653David Lloyd GeorgeLiberal1916–192202020302
3754Bonar LawConservative1922–192334473524
3855
57
59
Stanley BaldwinConservative1923–1924
1924–1929
1935–1937
14201113
3956
58
Ramsay MacDonaldLabour1924
1929–1935
33483329
4060Neville ChamberlainConservative1937–194035452852
4161
63
Winston ChurchillConservative1940–1945
1951–1955
01010101
4262Clement AttleeLabour1945–195107050722
4364Anthony EdenConservative1955–195747434548
4465Harold MacmillanConservative1957–196315171321
4566Alec Douglas-HomeConservative1963–196436322734
4667
69
Harold WilsonLabour1964–1970
1974–1976
20331719
4768Edward HeathConservative1970–197423131846
4870James CallaghanLabour1976–197927312427
4971Margaret ThatcherConservative1979–199005030410
5072John MajorConservative1990–199728162328
5173Tony BlairLabour1997–200716341512
5274Gordon BrownLabour2007–201036522545
5375David CameronConservative2010–2016N/AN/AN/AN/A
5476Theresa MayConservative2016—N/AN/AN/AN/A

See also

References

  1. "Academics rate Brown one of the worst post 1945 PMs - University of Leeds". Leeds.ac.uk. Retrieved 9 January 2011.
  2. "Gordon Brown 'third worst PM since 1945', poll of historians finds". Telegraph. 3 August 2010. Retrieved 9 January 2011.
  3. Rating British Prime Ministers Ipsos MORI. Retrieved November 24, 2015.
  4. "The prime ministerial ratings game: a parliamentary perspective". Politics Blog. 2015-05-05. Retrieved 2016-09-27.
  5. Churchill, 'Greatest' PM of 20th Century BBC Politics. Retrieved January 4, 2000.
  6. Thatcher and Attlee top PM list, BBC News website, 29 August 2006.
  7. "BBC Newsnight poll". BBC News. 2008-10-01. Retrieved 2016-07-23.
  8. 100 Great Britons BBC History, accessed 23 May 2007
  9. Your Favourite Prime Minister, 13 June 2007.
  10. "The Times's Top 50 Prime Ministers". Timesonline.co.uk. Retrieved 2016-07-23.
  11. "Matthew Parris: my top 50 Prime Ministers". Timesonline.co.uk. Retrieved 2016-07-23.
  12. "Peter Riddell: my top 50 Prime Ministers". Timesonline.co.uk. Retrieved 2016-07-23.
  13. "Ben Macintyre: My top 50 Prime Ministers". Timesonline.co.uk. Retrieved 2016-07-23.

Further reading

External links

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