History of Egypt under Hosni Mubarak

The history of Egypt under Hosni Mubarak spans a period of 29 years, beginning with the 1981 assassination of President Anwar Sadat and lasting until the Egyptian revolution of January 2011, when Mubarak was overthrown in a popular uprising as part of the broader Arab Spring movement. His presidency was marked by a continuation of the policies pursued by his predecessor, including the liberalization of Egypt's economy and a commitment to the 1979 Camp David Accords. The Egyptian government under Mubarak also maintained close relations with the other member states of the Arab League, as well as the United States, Russia, India, and much of the Western World. However, international non-governmental organizations such as Amnesty International and Human Rights Watch have repeatedly criticized his administration's human rights record. Concerns raised include political censorship, police brutality, arbitrary detention, torture, and restrictions on freedoms of speech, association, and assembly.^[1]

Hosni Mubarak

Mubarak's presidency greatly impacted Egyptian society and politics. This is in large part due to Egypt's political structure, in which the President must approve all pieces of legislation and state expenditures before they are enacted.^[2]

Politics

Hosni Mubarak became the President of Egypt following the assassination of Anwar Sadat on 6 October 1981; this was subsequently legitimized a few weeks later through a referendum in the People's Assembly, the lower house of Egypt's bicameral legislature. He had previously served as Vice President since 1975, a position he gained after rising through the ranks of the Egyptian Air Force during the preceding two decades. He also held the title of Deputy Defence Minister at the time of the 1973 October War.

Political reform was limited during this period. Prior to 2005, opposition candidates were not permitted to run for President, with the position instead being reaffirmed via referendum in the People's Assembly at regular six-year intervals. This changed after a constitutional amendment on 25 May 2005, which transformed it into a de jure elected office accountable to the Egyptian people. Presidential elections were held four months later, with Mubarak receiving nearly 89% of the popular vote against two other candidates. In order to be listed on the ballot, a presidential candidate must have the endorsement of a political party and the approval of a national election commission. Opposition parties called on voters to boycott the referendum as meaningless, but it passed with over 80% approval.^[3][4][5]

Shortly after mounting an unprecedented presidential campaign, Nour was jailed on forgery charges critics called phony; he was released on 18 February 2009.^[6] Brotherhood members were allowed to run for parliament in 2005 as independents, garnering 88 seats, or 20 percent of the People’s Assembly.

The opposition parties have been weak and divided and compared to the NDP. The November 2000 People's Assembly elections saw 34 members of the opposition win seats in the 454-seat assembly, facing a clear majority of 388 ultimately affiliated with the ruling National Democratic Party (NDP). The Muslim Brotherhood, founded in Egypt in 1928, was kept an illegal organization and not recognized as a political party (current Egyptian law prohibits the formation of political parties based on religion). Members are known publicly and openly speak their views. Members of the Brotherhood have been elected to the People's Assembly and local councils as independents. The Egyptian political opposition also includes groups and popular movements such as Kefaya and the April 6 Youth Movement, although they are somewhat less organized than officially registered political parties. Bloggers, or cyberactivists as Courtney C. Radsch terms them, have also played an important political opposition role, writing, organizing, and mobilizing public opposition.^[7]

President Mubarak had tight, autocratic control over Egypt. A dramatic drop in support for Mubarak and his domestic economic reform program increased with surfacing news about his son Alaa being favored in government tenders and privatization. As Alaa started getting out of the picture by 2000, Mubarak’s second son Gamal started rising in the National Democratic Party and succeeded in getting a newer generation of neo-liberals into the party and eventually the government. Gamal Mubarak branched out with a few colleagues to set up Medinvest Associates Ltd., which manages a private equity fund, and to do some corporate finance consultancy work.^[8]

Emergency law rule

Egypt is a semi-presidential republic under Emergency Law (Law No. 162 of 1958)^[9] and has been since 1967, except for an 18-month break in 1980s (which ended with the assassination of Anwar Sadat). Under the law, police powers are extended, constitutional rights suspended and censorship is legalized.^[10] The law sharply circumscribes any non-governmental political activity: street demonstrations, non-approved political organizations, and unregistered financial donations are formally banned. Some 17,000 people are detained under the law, and estimates of political prisoners run as high as 30,000.^[11] Under that "state of emergency", the government has the right to imprison individuals for any period of time, and for virtually no reason, thus keeping them in prisons without trials for any period. The government claimed that opposition groups like the Muslim Brotherhood could come into power in Egypt if the current government did not forgo parliamentary elections, confiscate the group's main financiers' possessions, and detain group figureheads, actions which are virtually impossible without emergency law and judicial-system independence prevention.^[12]

Foreign policy

American president George W. Bush and Mubarak, 2002

Mubarak maintained Egypt's commitment to the Camp David peace process, while re-storing relations with other Arab states. Mubarak also restore relations with USSR three years after Sadat's expulsion of USSR experts.^[13] In January 1984, Egypt was readmitted to the Organisation of Islamic Cooperation; in November 1987, an Arab summit resolution allowed the Arab countries to resume diplomatic relations with Egypt; and in 1989 Egypt was readmitted to the Arab League. Egypt also has played a moderating role in such international forums as the UN and the Nonaligned Movement.

Under Mubarak, Egypt was a staunch ally of the United States, whose aid to Egypt has averaged $2 billion a year since the 1979 signing of the Camp David Peace Accords.^[14] Egypt was a member of the allied coalition in the 1991 Gulf War, and Egyptian infantry were some of the first to land in Saudi Arabia to evict Iraqi forces from Kuwait. Egypt's involvement in the coalition was deemed by the US government as crucial in garnering wider Arab support for the liberation of Kuwait.

Although unpopular among Egyptians, the participation of Egyptian forces brought financial benefits for the Egyptian government. Reports that sums as large as $500,000 per soldier were paid or debt forgiven were published in the news media. According to The Economist:

"The programme worked like a charm: a textbook case, says the IMF. In fact, luck was on Hosni Mubarak's side; when the US was hunting for a military alliance to force Iraq out of Kuwait, Egypt's president joined without hesitation. After the war, his reward was that America, the Arab states of the Persian Gulf, and Europe forgave Egypt around $14 billion of debt."^[15]

Egypt acted as a mediator between Syria and Turkey in a 1998 dispute over boundaries, Turkey's diversion of water, and alleged Syrian support for Kurdish rebels.^[16] Mubarak did not, however, support the 2003 Iraq War by the US, arguing that the Israeli-Palestinian conflict should have been resolved first.^[17]

In 2009 when the Obama administration "indicated it would consider" extending protection to its Middle Eastern allies "if Iran continues its disputed nuclear activities", Mubarak stated "Egypt will not be part of any American nuclear umbrella intended to protect the Gulf countries."^[18][19]

Unrest and terror

Unrest was not unknown during Mubarak's reign. In February 1986 the Central Security Forces mutinied taking to the streets, rioting, burning and looting in demand for better pay. The uprising was the greatest challenge of the Mubarak presidency up to that point and only the second time in modern Egyptian history the Army was dispatched to Egyptian streets to restore order.^[20]

In 1992 14,000 soldiers occupied the Cairo shantytown suburb of Imbaba (est. population 1,000,000) for six-weeks arresting and removing some 5000 people, after al-Gama'a al-Islamiyya followers of Sheik Omar Abdel-Rahman attempted to take control there.^[21] In the following years al-Gama'a al-Islamiyya waged war against the state and against foreigners. In one year (1993) 1106 persons were killed or wounded. More police (120) than terrorists (111) were killed that year and "several senior police officials and their bodyguards were shot dead in daylight ambushes."^[22] The terror climaxed in 1997 when at least 71 people, mostly Swiss tourists, were killed by al-Gama'a al-Islamiyya gunmen at the Hatshepsut Temple outside Luxor.^[23] For several years Egypt was free of Islamist attacks until July 2005 when 86 people were killed and over 150 were wounded in the Red Sea resort of Sharm el-Sheikh.

In 2007-8 Egypt witnessed more than 150 demonstrations and strikes. "Some were violent and required heavy deployment of the security forces."^[24]

Human rights

The Emergency Law remained in force during Mubarak's presidency and provided a basis for arbitrary detention and unfair trials.^[25] In 2009 Human Rights Watch estimated between 5,000 and 10,000 Egyptians were held without charge. Police and security forces regularly used torture and brutality.^[25] According to the Egyptian Organization for Human Rights, 701 cases of torture at Egyptian police stations were documented from 1985 to 2011, and 204 victims died of torture and mistreatment.^[26] The group contends that crimes of torture `occur in Egyptian streets in broad daylight, at police checkpoints, and in people's homes in flagrant violation of the people's dignity and freedom.` ^[27]

Freedom of Expression, association and assembly was limited under Mubarak. The Press Law, Publications Law, and the penal code regulated the press, and called for punishment by fines or imprisonment for those who criticized the president.^[28] Freedom house upgraded Egypt's Press Freedom status in 2008 from "Not Free" to "Partly Free" in recognition not of a liberalization of government policy, but because

"of the courage of Egyptian journalists to cross “red lines” that previously restricted their work and in recognition of the greater range of viewpoints represented in the Egyptian media and blogosphere. This progress occurred in spite of the government’s ongoing—and in some cases increasing—harassment, repression, and imprisonment of journalists."^[29]

In 2005 Reporters Without Borders placed Egypt 143rd out of 167 nations on press freedoms,^[30] and its 2006 report cited continued harassment and, in three cases, imprisonment, of journalists.^[31] The two sources agree that promised reforms on the subject have been disappointingly slow or uneven in implementation.

Economy

Modern-day Cairo

From 1991, Mubarak undertook an ambitious domestic economic reform program to reduce the size of the public sector and expand the role of the private sector. During the 1990s, a series of International Monetary Fund arrangements, coupled with massive external debt relief resulting from Egypt's participation in the Gulf War coalition, helped Egypt improve its macroeconomic performance.

In the last two decades of Mubarak's reign, inflation was lowered and from 1981 and 2006, GDP per capita based on purchasing-power-parity (PPP) increased fourfold (from US$1355 in 1981 to an estimated US$4535 in 2006, and US$6180 in 2010).^[32]

However this growth was far from evenly spread. Monetary restructuring, especially the flotation of the Egyptian pound, the liberalization of the country's money markets, a reform of the tax system and strategic reductions in governmental social spending, resulted in "staggering hardships for the majority of the people" according to at least one observer. With housing scarcer and more expensive "marriage became harder for young people; it became common to have a family of six or seven living together in a single room."^[33]

As of 1989, early in the Mubarak era, Egypt continued to have a skewed distribution of wealth; about 2,000 families had annual incomes in excess of 35,000 Egyptian pounds (£E), while more than 4 million people earned less than £E200.^[34] Social conditions in Egypt improved but modernization "did not succeed in reaching a critical mass of its citizens," furthermore "some of the recent gains were reversed due to the 2008 food price crisis and fuel price shock and to the global crisis-related slowdown in economic activity." According to the World Bank:

infant mortality and malnutrition among children under five both decreased by half and life expectancy rose from 64 to 71 years.^[35] The economy and the living standards for the vast majority of the population improved, although in an uneven manner.^[36] While 18% of the Egyptian population still lives below the national poverty line, this figure goes up to 40% in rural Upper Egypt – and an additional 20% of the population has experienced poverty at one point during the last decade, heightening a sense of social vulnerability and insecurity.^[37]

According to an article by The Settle Times in January 2011, "about half the population [of Egypt] live[d] on $2 a day or less."

State corruption

While in office, political corruption in the Mubarak administration's Ministry of Interior rose dramatically, due to the increased power over the institutional system that is necessary to secure the prolonged presidency. Such corruption has led to the imprisonment of political figures and young activists without trials,^[38] illegal undocumented hidden detention facilities,^[39][40] and rejecting universities, mosques, newspapers staff members based on political inclination.^[41] On a personnel level, each individual officer is allowed to violate citizens' privacy in his area using unconditioned arrests due to the emergency law.

In 2010, Transparency International's Corruption Perceptions Index report assessed Egypt with a CPI score of 3.1 out of 10.0, based on perceptions of the degree of corruption from business people and country analysts, (10 being no corruption and 0 being totally corrupt). Egypt ranked 98th out of the 178 countries included in the report.^[42]

Society and education

Early in the Mubarak presidency (1986), a census found Egypt's population at 50.4 million, including about 2.3 million Egyptians working in other countries. More than 34% of the population was twelve years old or younger, and 68% under the age of thirty. Fewer than 3% of Egyptians were sixty-five years or older. Like most developing countries there was a steady influx of rural inhabitants to the urban areas, but just over half the population still lived in villages. In 1989 average life expectancy at birth was 59 for men and 60 for women. The infant mortality rate was 94 deaths per 1,000 births.^[43]

Under a law pass shortly before the Mubarak presidency, the structure of pre-university public education in Egypt made a nine-year education compulsory. Despite this most parents removed their children from school before they graduated from ninth grade. The basic cycle included six years of primary school and after passing special examinations, three years of intermediate school.^[44] Another special examinations gained admittance to the non-compulsory secondary cycle (grades ten through twelve). Secondary students chose between a general (college preparatory) curriculum of humanities, mathematics, or the sciences: and a technical curriculum of agriculture, communications, or industry. Students could advance between grades only after they received satisfactory scores on standardized tests.^[44]

As in many poor countries the enrollment rate for girls lagged boys. In 1985-86, early in the Mubark presidency, only 45% of all primary students were girls. An estimated 75% of girls between the ages of six and twelve were enrolled in primary school but 94% of boys. In Upper Egypt less than 30% of all students were girls. Girls also dropped out of primary school more frequently than boys.^[44] Girls accounted for about 41 percent of total intermediate school enrollment and 39 percent of secondary school enrollment. Among all girls aged twelve to eighteen in 1985-86, only 46 percent were enrolled in school.^[44]

Overthrow

Mubarak was ousted after 18 days of demonstrations during the 2011 Egyptian revolution^[45] when, on 11 February, Vice President Omar Suleiman announced that Mubarak had resigned as president and transferred authority to the Supreme Council of the Armed Forces.^[46][47] On 13 April, a prosecutor ordered Mubarak and both his sons to be detained for 15 days of questioning about allegations of corruption and abuse of power.^[48] He was then ordered to stand trial on charges of premeditated murder of peaceful protestors during the revolution.^[49]

See also

• 2011 Egyptian revolution
• Hosni Mubarak
• Liberalism in Egypt
• Terrorism in Egypt

References

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2. Quote: "Egypt is a presidential state. .. the President is the dominant political and governmental authority in Egypt. Any important policy or project must normally have the `blessing` of the President before it can proceed with a reasonable prospect of success." Egypt Under Mubarak, "Government and the State in Egypt Today," Naziah N. Ayubi p.10
3. "Egypt says 'yes' to contested elections". The Independent. 2005-05-27. Retrieved 2009-03-14.
4. "Egypt: Referendum Held On Multi-Candidate Presidential Polls". Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty. 2005-05-25. Retrieved 2009-03-14.
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7. Arab Media & Society. Arabmediasociety.com. Retrieved on 2011-02-02.
8. Interview with MR. GAMAL MUBARAK Chairman Of Medinvest Associates Ltd. Winne.com (1999-01-14). Retrieved on 2011-02-02.
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10. Egypt After 9/11: Perceptions of the United States 26 March 2004
11. R. Clemente Holder (August 1994). "Egyptian Lawyer's Death Triggers Cairo Protests". Washington Report on Middle East Affairs. Retrieved 26 January 2011.
12. Caraley, Demetrios (April 2004). American hegemony: preventive war, Iraq, and imposing democracy. Academy of Political Science. ISBN 1-884853-04-8.
13. Egypt, Soviets re-establish relations after 3 year period
14. F.A.Q. on U.S. Aid to Egypt: Where Does the Money Go—And Who Decides How It’s Spent? by Marian Wang|ProPublica| Jan. 31, 2011
15. "The IMF's model pupil". The Economist. 18 March 1999. Retrieved 19 June 2007.
16. Mubarak Visits Syria in Effort To Defuse Crisis With Turkey| By DOUGLAS JEHL| nytimes.com| October 05, 1998
17. "Mubarak warns of '100 bin Ladens'". CNN. 31 March 2003. Retrieved 29 January 2011.
18. "Egypt Rules Out Joining U.S. Nuclear Umbrella". Aug. 25, 2009. Global Security Newswire. Retrieved 26 April 2013.
19. DISARMAMENT: Egypt Rejects U.S. Nuclear Umbrella| Inter Press Service| By Fareed Mahdy| 20 August 2009
20. Weaver, Mary Ann, Portrait of Egypt, p.68
21. Jihad: The Trail of Political Islam by Gilles Kepel, The Belknap Press of Harvard University Press, 2002, p.290-1
22. Murphy, Caryle Passion for Islam : Shaping the Modern Middle East: the Egyptian Experience, Scribner, 2002, p.82-3
23. (Sageman, p.47
24. Egypt on the Brink by Tarek Osman, Yale University Press, 2010, (p.116)
25. World Report 2010. Egypt
26. EOHR calls for investigating 900 torture cases, by Marwa Al-A'sar/Daily News Egypt| 22 June 2011
27. Inside Egypt: The Land of the Pharaohs on the Brink of a Revolution by John R. Bradley, Palgrave MaacMillan, 2008. p.191
28. freedomhouse.org: Freedom of the Press
29. Freedom of the Press. Egypt, 2008 freedomhouse.org
30. Reporters sans frontières - Annual Worldwide Press Freedom Index - 2005
31. Reporters sans frontières - Egypt - Annual report 2006
32. http://www. tradingeconomics .com/egypt/gdp-per-capita-ppp Egypt GDP per capita PPP| tradingeconomics.com (a blacklisted site although it seems legit.)
33. Egypt on the Brink by Tarek Osman, Yale University Press, 2010, p. 130–31
34. /Country Studies Egypt - SOCIAL ORGANIZATION
35. The UNDP gives slightly better life expectancy improvement from 56.2 to 73.2 years. International Human Development Indicators UNDP
36. The World Bank estimates Egypt's gini coefficient from 1993-98 at 30.8 GINI index World Bank
37. Egypt. Country Brief
38. Suzanne Choney (27 January 2011). "Egyptian bloggers brave police intimidation". MSNBC. Retrieved 28 January 2011.
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40. Kalla Fakta (18 May 2004). "Striptease brevpapperl Agent". trojkan.se. Retrieved 28 January 2011.
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43. country study. Egypt - Population
44. Education, from Egypt: A Country Study. Helen Chapin Metz, ed. Washington: GPO for the Library of Congress, 1990.]
45. Kirkpatrick, David D. (28 January 2011). "Egypt Calls In Army as Protesters Rage". New York Times. Retrieved 28 January 2011.
46. Kirkpatrick, David D.; Shadid, Anthony; Cowell, Alan (11 February 2011). "Mubarak Steps Down, Ceding Power to Military". New York Times. Retrieved 11 February 2011.
47. "Egypt crisis: President Hosni Mubarak resigns as leader". BBC. 11 February 2010. Retrieved 11 February 2011.
48. Kirkpatrick, David D.; Stack, Liam (13 March 2011). "Prosecutors Order Mubarak and Sons Held". The New York Times. Retrieved 13 April 2011.
49. "Mubarak to be tried for murder of protesters". Reuters. 24 May 2011. Retrieved 24 May 2011.