Opinion polling for the French presidential election, 2017

This page lists public opinion polls in connection with the 2017 French presidential election.

Opinion polls for the first round of voting

2016

November–December

Polling firm/Link	Fieldwork date	Sample size

			SP	LO	NPA	PG	EELV	PS	PS	PS	PRG	EM	MoDem	LR	DLF	FN
Elabe	28.11.16–29.11.16	941	—	0.5%	1%	12%	1.5%	—	—	5%	—	17%	5%	31%	2%	25%
			—	0.5%	1%	12%	1.5%	—	9%	—	—	14%	5%	31%	2%	24%
			—	0.5%	1%	12%	1.5%	7%	—	—	—	16%	6%	30%	2%	24%
Kantar Sofres	28.11.16	1,011	0.5%	1%	1%	12.5%	2%	—	—	7%	1%	17.5%	—	31%	2.5%	24%
			0.5%	1%	1%	12%	1.5%	—	—	6%	1%	16%	6%	29%	2%	24%
			0.5%	1.5%	1%	11.5%	2.5%	—	11%	—	0.5%	15%	—	29%	2.5%	25%
			0.5%	1.5%	1%	12%	2%	—	9.5%	—	0.5%	13%	6%	28%	2%	24%
			0.5%	2%	1.5%	15%	3%	14%	—	—	1%	—	—	34%	3%	26%
			0.5%	0.5%	1%	13%	2%	8.5%	—	—	1%	17%	—	30%	2.5%	24%
			0.5%	0.5%	1%	12%	2%	7.5%	—	—	1%	15%	6%	29%	2.5%	23%
Harris Interactive	27.11.16	6,093	—	1%	1%	15%	2%	—	9%	—	—	13%	7%	26%	2%	24%
Harris Interactive	27.11.16	6,093	—	1%	1%	13%	3%	9%	—	—	—	14%	6%	26%	3%	24%
Odoxa	25.11.16	998	—	2%	1%	12%	2%	8%	—	—	—	13%	6%	32%	2%	22%

Older polls

September–November 2016

Polling firm/Link	Fieldwork date	Sample size

			SP	LO	NPA	PG	EELV	EELV	PS	PS	PS	PRG	EM	MoDem	LR	LR	LR	LR	DLF	FN
Ifop	16.11.16–17.11.16	979	0%	1%	1.5%	13%	—	3%	10%	—	—	—	15%	5.5%	—	—	20%	—	2%	29%
			0.5%	0.5%	1.5%	13%	—	2.5%	9%	—	—	—	14%	—	—	26%	—	—	3%	30%
			0%	1%	1.5%	13%	—	2.5%	9%	—	—	—	16%	8.5%	17.5%	—	—	—	3%	28%
Ipsos	08.11.16–13.11.16	18,200	<0.5%	1.5%	1.5%	13%	—	3%	9%	—	—	—	10%	—	—	31%	—	—	4%	27%
			<0.5%	1.5%	1.5%	14%	—	4%	—	12%	—	—	—	—	—	34%	—	—	4%	29%
			<0.5%	1.5%	1.5%	14%	—	4%	—	14%	—	—	—	11%	21%	—	—	—	4%	29%
			<0.5%	1.5%	1.5%	14%	—	4%	10%	—	—	—	—	—	—	36%	—	—	4%	29%
			<0.5%	1.5%	1.5%	14%	—	4%	12%	—	—	—	—	12%	22%	—	—	—	4%	29%
Kantar Sofres	21.10.16–23.10.16	1,005	0.5%	1.5%	2%	15%	—	2%	—	13%	—	—	—	—	—	33%	—	—	4%	29%
			0.5%	1.5%	1.5%	13%	—	1.5%	—	9%	—	—	14%	—	—	28%	—	—	3%	28%
			<0.5%	1%	2%	14%	—	2%	11%	—	—	—	18%	—	21%	—	—	—	4%	27%
			0.5%	1%	2%	14.5%	—	2%	12%	—	—	—	—	—	—	34%	—	—	5%	29%
			0.5%	1.5%	1.5%	15.5%	—	2%	13%	—	—	—	—	11.5%	22%	—	—	—	4.5%	28%
			<0.5%	0.5%	2%	13%	—	1.5%	9%	—	—	—	14%	—	—	28%	—	—	4%	28%
			<0.5%	0.5%	1.5%	13.5%	—	1.5%	10%	—	—	—	15%	8%	20%	—	—	—	4%	26%
BVA	14.10.16–16.10.16	916	—	1%	2%	13%	2%	—	—	—	9%	—	—	—	—	39%	—	—	5%	29%
			—	1%	1%	15%	3%	—	—	—	10%	—	—	15%	22%	—	—	—	5%	28%
			—	1%	2%	12%	2%	—	9%	—	—	—	11%	—	—	33%	—	—	4%	26%
			—	1%	2%	12%	2.5%	—	9.5%	—	—	—	14%	10%	20%	—	—	—	4%	25%
			—	1%	2%	12.5%	2.5%	—	11%	—	—	—	—	—	—	37%	—	—	5%	29%
			—	1%	1.5%	14%	3%	—	13%	—	—	—	—	14%	22%	—	—	—	4%	27.5%
Elabe	20.09.16–21.09.16	922	—	1%	1.5%	14%	2%	—	—	—	7%	—	16%	—	—	29.5%	—	—	2%	27%
			—	0.5%	1%	14%	2%	—	—	—	7%	—	18%	9%	19%	—	—	—	3%	26.5%
			—	1%	1%	14%	2.5%	—	—	9%	—	—	14%	—	—	28%	—	—	3.5%	27%
			—	1%	1%	15%	2%	—	—	9%	—	—	15%	10%	18%	—	—	—	3%	26%
			—	1%	1%	13%	3%	—	12%	—	—	—	14%	—	—	26%	—	—	3%	27%
			—	0.5%	0.5%	15%	2.5%	—	12.5%	—	—	—	15%	8%	18%	—	—	—	3%	25%
			—	1%	1%	15%	3%	—	15%	—	—	—	—	—	—	34%	—	—	3%	28%
			—	1%	1%	14%	3%	—	16%	—	—	—	—	12%	23%	—	—	—	3%	27%
Ipsos	09.09.16–18.09.16	18,659	<0.5%	1.5%	1.5%	11.5%	2.5%	—	10%	—	—	—	12%	—	—	28%	—	—	5%	28%
			<0.5%	1.5%	1.5%	11.5%	2.5%	—	10%	—	—	—	14%	9%	18%	—	—	—	5%	27%
			<0.5%	1.5%	1.5%	12.5%	3%	—	12.5%	—	—	—	—	—	—	34%	—	—	5%	30%
			<0.5%	1.5%	1.5%	13%	3%	—	13%	—	—	—	—	12%	22%	—	—	—	5%	29%
BVA	09.09.16–11.09.16	912	—	0.5%	1.5%	12%	2%	—	9%	—	—	—	—	—	—	38%	—	—	7%	30%
			—	1%	0.5%	13.5%	2.5%	—	9%	—	—	—	—	14%	24%	—	—	—	6.5%	29%
			—	1%	0.5%	10%	3%	—	9%	—	—	—	16.5%	—	—	26%	—	—	6%	28%
			—	1%	1%	11%	3%	—	9%	—	—	—	18.5%	7%	19%	—	—	—	5%	25.5%
			—	1%	1%	13%	3.5%	—	14%	—	—	—	—	12.5%	—	—	—	16%	7%	32%
			—	1%	1%	13%	3%	—	13%	—	—	—	—	12%	—	—	18.5%	—	5.5%	33%
			—	1%	1%	12%	3%	—	11%	—	—	—	—	—	—	36%	—	—	6%	30%
			—	0.5%	1%	12.5%	3.5%	—	13%	—	—	—	—	13%	22%	—	—	—	5%	29.5%
Ifop	05.09.16–07.09.16	1,903	0.5%	1%	1%	13.5%	3%	—	—	8%	—	—	16%	—	—	27%	—	—	4%	26%
			0.5%	1%	1%	11.5%	3%	—	—	7%	5%	—	14%	—	—	27%	—	—	4%	26%
			0.5%	1%	1.5%	12.5%	2.5%	—	10%	—	—	—	15%	—	—	27%	—	—	4%	26%
			0.5%	1%	1.5%	11%	2.5%	—	10%	—	3.5%	—	14%	—	—	26%	—	—	4%	26%
			0%	1%	1.5%	11%	2.5%	—	10%	—	4%	—	15%	9%	18%	—	—	—	4%	24%
			0.5%	1%	1.5%	14.5%	3%	—	15.5%	—	—	—	—	12%	—	—	—	17%	5%	30%
			0%	1%	1.5%	13.5%	3%	—	14%	—	—	—	—	—	—	33%	—	—	5%	29%
			0%	1%	1.5%	14%	3%	—	14.5%	—	—	—	—	13%	22%	—	—	—	5%	26%
TNS Sofres	02.09.16–05.09.16	1,006	0.5%	1.5%	2%	11%	3.5%	—	—	—	6%	—	16%	—	—	27%	—	—	5%	27.5%
			1%	2%	2%	11%	4%	—	—	—	7%	—	20%	—	22%	—	—	—	4%	27%
			0.5%	1.5%	1%	10%	3%	—	—	—	5%	—	18%	8%	22%	—	—	—	4%	27%
			<0.5%	1.5%	1.5%	12%	3%	—	14%	—	—	—	—	—	—	33%	—	—	6%	29%
			0.5%	1.5%	2.5%	13%	4.5%	—	15%	—	—	—	—	—	27%	—	—	—	7%	29%
			<0.5%	1%	2%	12%	2%	—	13%	—	—	—	—	13%	25%	—	—	—	5%	27%
			<0.5%	1%	1.5%	11.5%	3%	—	11%	—	—	—	15%	—	—	25%	—	—	3.5%	28.5%
			<0.5%	1%	1%	12%	3%	—	12%	—	—	—	18%	—	22%	—	—	—	4%	27%
			<0.5%	1%	1%	11%	2%	—	11%	—	—	—	16%	9%	20%	—	—	—	3%	26%

June–August 2016

Polling firm/Link	Fieldwork date	Sample size

			SP	LO	NPA	PG	EELV	Hulot	PS	PS	PS	MoDem	MoDem	DVD	LR	LR	LR	LR	LR	DLF	UPR	FN
BVA	08.07.16– 10.07.16	936	—	1%	1.5%	13.5%	2%	—	13.5%	—	—	—	—	—	—	36%	—	—	—	4.5%	—	28%
BVA	08.07.16– 10.07.16	936	—	1%	1%	13%	2%	—	13%	—	—	13%	—	—	23%	—	—	—	—	5%	—	29%
Elabe	20.06.16– 21.06.16	926	—	1%	1.5%	10%	—	11%	13.5%	—	—	10%	—	—	—	—	—	21%	—	4%	—	28%
			—	0.5%	1%	11%	3.5%	—	15%	—	—	12%	—	—	—	—	—	22%	—	5%	—	30%
			—	1%	1%	11%	—	10%	13%	—	—	9.5%	—	—	—	—	23%	—	—	4.5%	—	27%
			—	1%	1%	12%	3%	—	15%	—	—	10%	—	—	—	—	24%	—	—	5%	—	29%
			—	1%	1%	10%	—	9%	12%	—	—	—	—	—	—	37%	—	—	—	4%	—	26%
			—	1%	1%	11%	3%	—	14%	—	—	—	—	—	—	39%	—	—	—	5%	—	26%
			—	0.5%	1%	10%	—	10%	14%	—	—	10%	—	—	25%	—	—	—	—	3.5%	—	26%
			—	0.5%	1%	12%	3.5%	—	15%	—	—	11.5%	—	—	25%	—	—	—	—	4.5%	—	27%
Ifop	14.06.16– 17.06.16	1,858	—	1%	—	14%	—	—	15%	—	—	—	—	—	—	36%	—	—	—	5%	1%	28%
			0%	0.5%	1%	12%	1%	—	14.5%	4.5%	—	11%	0.5%	1%	21%	—	—	—	1%	4%	0.5%	27.5%
			0.5%	1%	1.5%	12%	2%	—	—	5%	12%	—	—	—	—	33%	—	—	—	4.5%	—	28.5%
			0.5%	1%	1%	12.5%	—	5.5%	13%	—	—	—	—	—	—	34%	—	—	—	4.5%	—	28%
			0%	0.5%	1%	11.5%	2%	—	14%	4.5%	—	—	—	—	—	34%	—	—	—	4.5%	—	28%
			0.5%	0.5%	1%	14%	2.5%	—	16%	—	—	12.5%	—	—	—	—	—	17%	—	5.5%	—	30.5%
			0.5%	0.5%	1.5%	14.5%	2.5%	—	15%	—	—	12%	—	—	—	—	18%	—	—	5.5%	—	30%
			0.5%	0.5%	1.5%	12.5%	2.5%	—	14%	—	—	—	—	—	—	35%	—	—	—	4.5%	—	29%
			0.5%	1%	1.5%	13%	2%	—	15%	—	—	12.5%	—	—	22%	—	—	—	—	4.5%	—	28%
BVA	10.06.16– 12.06.16	910	—	2%	1%	15%	2%	—	15%	—	—	12%	—	—	—	—	—	19%	—	5%	—	29%
			—	1.5%	1.5%	15%	2%	—	14%	—	—	12%	—	—	—	—	19%	—	—	6%	—	29%
			—	1.5%	1.5%	14%	2%	—	14%	—	—	—	—	—	—	36%	—	—	—	5%	—	26%
			—	2%	1%	14%	3%	—	13%	—	—	13%	—	—	21%	—	—	—	—	5%	—	28%

January–May 2016

Polling firm/Link	Fieldwork date	Sample size

			SP	LO	NPA	PG	EELV	Hulot	PS	PS	PS	PS	MoDem	LR	LR	LR	LR	DLF	FN
Ipsos	13.05.16–22.05.16	19,455	<0.5%	1.5%	1.5%	12%	3%	—	14%	—	—	—	—	—	35%	—	—	5%	28%
Ipsos	13.05.16–22.05.16	19,455	<0.5%	1.5%	1.5%	12%	3%	—	14%	—	—	—	13%	21%	—	—	—	6%	28%
BVA	13.05.16–16.05.16	927	—	0.5%	2%	13%	3.5%	—	16%	—	—	—	16%	—	—	—	17%	5%	27%
			—	0.5%	1.5%	13%	3.5%	—	15%	—	—	—	14%	—	—	21%	—	4.5%	27%
			—	0.5%	1.5%	12%	4%	—	13.5%	—	—	—	—	—	38%	—	—	5.5%	25%
			—	0.5%	1.5%	12%	3.5%	—	15%	—	—	—	13.5%	22%	—	—	—	5%	27%
Ifop	25.04.16–28.04.16	1,419	0%	1.5%	1%	14%	2.5%	—	—	—	—	20%	—	—	29%	—	—	6%	26%
Ifop	25.04.16–28.04.16	1,419	0%	1%	1%	13%	3%	—	—	—	—	22%	10%	18%	—	—	—	6%	26%
Elabe	26.04.16–27.04.16	911	—	1.5%	1%	11.5%	2.5%	—	—	—	—	25.5%	11.5%	—	—	—	18%	3.5%	25%
			—	1.5%	2%	12%	2%	—	—	19%	—	—	12%	—	—	19%	—	4%	28.5%
			—	1%	1%	12%	2%	—	—	—	—	21%	—	—	36%	—	—	4%	23%
			—	1.5%	2%	12%	2.5%	—	—	—	—	25%	11%	18%	—	—	—	4%	24%
			—	1%	1%	11.5%	2%	—	—	15.5%	—	—	—	—	38%	—	—	5%	26%
			—	1%	1%	12%	2%	—	—	18.5%	—	—	13%	22%	—	—	—	5.5%	25%
			—	1%	1%	11%	2%	—	15%	—	—	—	—	—	39%	—	—	5%	26%
			—	1%	1%	10%	2%	—	18%	—	—	—	14%	23%	—	—	—	5%	26%
BVA	15.04.16–17.04.16	949	—	2%	2%	13%	3%	—	15%	—	—	—	11%	—	—	—	18%	6%	30%
			—	1.5%	2.5%	13%	3%	—	14%	—	—	—	11%	—	—	21%	—	5%	29%
			—	1%	2%	13.5%	3%	—	13.5%	—	—	—	—	—	35%	—	—	5%	27%
			—	1%	2%	12%	3%	—	14%	—	—	—	12%	22%	—	—	—	6%	28%
TNS Sofres	15.04.16–16.04.16	1,011	—	2%	3%	16%	5%	—	15%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	21%	8%	30%
			—	2%	3%	14%	4%	—	14%	—	—	—	—	—	—	23%	—	8%	32%
			—	2%	2%	12%	4%	—	13%	—	—	—	—	—	35%	—	—	6%	26%
			—	2%	3%	14%	4%	—	16%	—	—	—	—	24%	—	—	—	8%	29%
			—	1.5%	2.5%	13%	3%	—	14%	—	—	—	12%	23%	—	—	—	6%	25%
Odoxa	14.04.16–15.04.16	949	—	1%	2%	12%	2%	—	—	—	—	18%	—	—	29%	—	—	5%	31%
			—	1%	2%	11%	2%	—	—	—	—	21%	10%	19%	—	—	—	4%	30%
			—	1%	2%	11%	1%	—	14%	—	—	—	—	—	34%	—	—	5%	32%
			—	1%	2%	11%	2%	—	15%	—	—	—	13%	20%	—	—	—	5%	31%
Ifop	12.04.16–14.04.16	1,876	0.5%	1%	2%	12%	1%	—	—	—	4%	16%	—	—	33%	—	—	4.5%	26%
			0.5%	1%	1%	11%	1%	—	14%	—	3.5%	—	—	—	36%	—	—	5%	27%
			0.5%	0.5%	1.5%	10.5%	—	7%	14%	—	—	—	—	—	36%	—	—	4%	26%
			0.5%	1%	1%	12.5%	1.5%	—	—	16%	—	—	—	—	36%	—	—	4.5%	27%
			0.5%	1%	1%	13.5%	1.5%	—	—	17%	—	—	12.5%	21%	—	—	—	5%	27%
			0.5%	1%	1%	13.5%	1.5%	—	16%	—	—	—	13%	—	—	—	20%	5.5%	28%
			0.5%	1%	1.5%	12.5%	1.5%	—	16%	—	—	—	12%	—	—	21%	—	6%	28%
			0.5%	1%	1%	12%	1.5%	—	15%	—	—	—	—	—	37%	—	—	5%	27%
			0.5%	1%	1%	11%	1%	—	14%	—	—	—	7%	—	34%	—	—	4%	26.5%
			0.5%	1%	1%	12.5%	1.5%	—	16%	—	—	—	14%	21%	—	—	—	5%	27.5%
Harris Interactive	11.04.16–13.04.16	1,535	—	2%	1%	11%	2%	11%	13%	—	—	—	—	—	26%	—	—	5%	29%
Harris Interactive	11.04.16–13.04.16	1,535	—	1%	1%	10%	1%	9%	14%	—	—	—	12%	19%	—	—	—	6%	27%
Ipsos	11.03.16–20.03.16	20,319	—	1.5%	1.5%	11%	3%	—	15%	—	—	—	—	—	36%	—	—	5%	27%
			—	1.5%	1.5%	10%	3%	—	14%	—	—	—	8%	—	31%	—	—	5%	26%
			—	1.5%	1.5%	11%	3%	—	16%	—	—	—	13%	21%	—	—	—	6%	27%
Ifop	11.03.16–14.03.16	1,026	—	1.5%	2.5%	15%	2.5%	—	—	—	—	14%	—	—	32%	—	—	3%	29.5%
Ifop	11.03.16–14.03.16	1,026	—	1%	2%	15%	2.5%	—	—	—	—	17%	11%	19%	—	—	—	4.5%	28%
Ifop	17.02.16–19.02.16	1,843	—	2%	3.5%	—	—	—	22%	—	—	—	18%	21.5%	—	—	—	5%	28%
			—	1%	1.5%	12%	—	—	18%	—	—	—	15.5%	21%	—	—	—	5%	26%
			—	1%	1%	11%	2%	—	18%	—	—	—	—	—	35%	—	—	4%	28%
			—	1%	1%	12%	3%	—	18%	—	—	—	15%	—	—	—	17%	5%	28%
			—	1%	1%	12%	2.5%	—	18%	—	—	—	14.5%	—	—	18%	—	5%	28%
			—	1%	1%	10%	2.5%	—	16%	—	—	—	8.5%	—	30%	—	—	4%	27%
			—	1%	1.5%	11.5%	2%	—	18%	—	—	—	15%	21%	—	—	—	5%	25%
Ipsos	22.01.16–31.01.16	21,326	—	1.5%	1.5%	9%	3%	—	20%	—	—	—	12%	—	—	19%	—	5%	29%
			—	1.5%	1.5%	8.5%	2.5%	—	18%	—	—	—	8%	—	31%	—	—	4%	25%
			—	1.5%	1.5%	9%	3%	—	20%	—	—	—	13%	21%	—	—	—	5%	26%
Odoxa	14.01.16–15.01.16	1,011	—	2%	2%	11%	2%	—	—	—	—	19%	—	—	32%	—	—	4%	28%
			—	2%	1%	12%	2%	—	—	—	—	22%	12%	18%	—	—	—	4%	27%
			—	1%	2%	9%	3%	—	16%	—	—	—	—	—	34%	—	—	5%	30%
			—	1%	1%	11%	2%	—	19%	—	—	—	13%	20%	—	—	—	5%	28%

2015

Polling firm/Link	Fieldwork date	Sample size

			SP	LO	NPA	NPA	FG	EELV	PS	PS	PS	MoDem	LR	LR	LR	DLF	MPF	FN
Ifop	14.12.15–17.12.15	1,800	—	1%	1%	—	9%	2%	22.5%	—	—	12%	22%	—	—	—	3%	27.5%
			—	1%	1%	—	9%	2%	23%	—	—	10%	—	—	19.5%	5.5%	—	29%
			—	1%	1%	—	9.5%	2.5%	20.5%	—	—	—	—	34%	—	5%	—	26.5%
			—	1%	1%	—	8.5%	2%	20.5%	—	—	6.5%	—	30%	—	4.5%	—	26%
			—	1%	1%	—	9%	2%	22%	—	—	12%	21%	—	—	5%	—	27%
TNS Sofres	14.12.15–15.12.15	1,000	—	1%	1.5%	—	11%	3%	20%	—	—	—	—	31%	—	4.5%	—	28%
			—	1%	1.5%	—	12%	3%	22%	—	—	—	26%	—	—	7%	—	27.5%
			—	1%	1.5%	—	10.5%	3%	19%	—	—	10.5%	24%	—	—	4.5%	—	26%
Harris Interactive	13.12.15	1,020	—	1%	1%	—	10%	3%	22%	—	—	—	—	29%	—	7%	—	27%
Harris Interactive	13.12.15	1,020	—	1%	1%	—	10%	3%	21%	—	—	12%	21%	—	—	4%	—	27%
Ifop	31.10.15–04.11.15	937	—	1%	2%	—	9%	3%	20.5%	—	—	—	—	31.5%	—	4%	—	29%
			—	1%	2%	—	8%	2%	19%	—	—	9%	—	27%	—	3%	—	29%
			—	1%	1.5%	—	8%	2%	21%	—	—	12%	23%	—	—	3.5%	—	28%
Ifop	03.09.15–04.09.15	1,002	—	1%	1%	—	10%	2%	19%	—	—	10%	—	25%	—	3%	—	29%
Ifop	03.09.15–04.09.15	1,002	—	1%	1.5%	—	10%	2%	19%	—	—	11.5%	25%	—	—	3%	—	27%
Ifop	17.08.15–19.08.15	950	—	1%	1%	—	13%	4%	—	—	8%	17%	25%	—	—	4%	—	27%
			—	1.5%	1.5%	—	10%	2%	—	22%	—	11%	23%	—	—	3%	—	26%
			—	1.5%	1.5%	—	9%	3%	20%	—	—	11%	24%	—	—	4%	—	26%
Ifop	17.07.15–21.07.15	944	—	1%	1%	—	9%	3%	18%	—	—	9%	—	28%	—	4%	—	27%
Ifop	17.07.15–21.07.15	944	—	1%	1%	—	9%	3%	21%	—	—	12%	23%	—	—	3%	—	27%
Odoxa	21.05.15–22.05.15	911	—	1%	2%	—	11%	2%	16%	—	—	—	—	34%	—	3%	—	31%
Odoxa	21.05.15–22.05.15	911	—	1%	1%	—	10%	2%	17%	—	—	12%	25%	—	—	2%	—	30%
Odoxa	29.04.15–30.04.15	1,021	—	1%	1%	—	8%	2%	—	20%	—	10%	26%	—	—	3%	—	29%
Odoxa	29.04.15–30.04.15	1,021	—	1%	1%	—	10%	2%	17%	—	—	9%	28%	—	—	3%	—	29%
OpinionWay	15.04.15–16.04.15	979	0%	1%	0%	—	11%	2%	15%	—	—	6%	—	32%	—	4%	—	29%
OpinionWay	15.04.15–16.04.15	979	0%	1%	0%	—	12%	2%	16%	—	—	12%	28%	—	—	3%	—	26%
CSA	27.01.15–29.01.15	951	—	0.5%	—	2.5%	10%	3%	—	21%	—	8%	—	19%	—	3%	—	33%
			—	0.5%	—	3%	9%	2%	—	22.5%	—	10%	21.5%	—	—	2.5%	—	29%
			—	0.5%	—	3%	11%	2%	18%	—	—	9%	—	22%	—	2.5%	—	32%
			—	0.5%	—	3%	10%	2.5%	19%	—	—	11%	22.5%	—	—	2.5%	—	29%
Ifop	21.01.15–23.01.15	983	—	1.5%	1.5%	—	8%	3%	—	23%	—	7%	—	22%	—	3%	—	31%
			—	1%	1%	—	8%	4%	—	23%	—	7%	23%	—	—	3%	—	30%
			—	1%	2%	—	8%	4%	21%	—	—	7%	—	23%	—	3%	—	31%
			—	1%	2%	—	8%	3%	21%	—	—	9%	23%	—	—	4%	—	29%

2012–2014

Polling firm/Link	Fieldwork date	Sample size

			SP	LO	NPA	FG	EELV	EELV	PS	PS	PS	PS	MoDem	UMP	UMP	UMP	UMP	DLF	FN
Ifop	28.10.14–30.10.14	1,382	—	2%	1.5%	8.5%	—	3%	—	15%	—	—	13%	27%	—	—	—	3%	27%
			—	1.5%	1.5%	9%	—	2%	—	—	—	13%	10%	—	30%	—	—	4%	29%
			—	2%	1.5%	8%	—	3%	—	—	—	14%	14%	27%	—	—	—	3.5%	27%
			—	1.5%	1.5%	9%	—	—	15%	—	—	—	14%	26%	—	—	—	4%	29%
			—	1.5%	1.5%	9%	—	4%	14%	—	—	—	16%	—	—	18%	—	5%	31%
			—	1.5%	1.5%	10%	—	4%	15%	—	—	—	—	—	32%	—	—	4%	32%
			—	1.5%	1.5%	9%	—	3%	13%	—	—	—	10%	—	28%	—	—	4%	30%
			—	1.5%	1.5%	9%	—	3%	14%	—	—	—	13%	26%	—	—	—	3%	29%
Ifop	03.09.14–04.09.14	994	—	1%	1%	10%	—	3%	17%	—	—	—	14%	—	—	17%	—	5%	32%
			—	1%	1%	10%	—	3%	16%	—	—	—	11%	—	24%	—	—	4%	30%
			—	1%	1%	10%	—	3%	16%	—	—	—	12%	25%	—	—	—	4%	28%
Ifop	21.07.14–22.07.14	947	—	2%	1%	11%	—	4%	—	—	10%	—	16%	26%	—	—	—	3%	27%
			—	2%	1%	11%	—	3%	—	17%	—	—	12%	25%	—	—	—	3%	26%
			—	2%	1%	10%	—	3%	17%	—	—	—	13%	25%	—	—	—	3%	26%
Ifop	15.04.14–18.04.14	998	0%	1%	1.5%	9%	3%	—	19%	—	—	—	13%	—	—	22%	—	2.5%	29%
			0%	0.5%	1.5%	9%	3%	—	18%	—	—	—	10%	—	30%	—	—	2%	26%
			0%	0.5%	1.5%	9%	3%	—	18%	—	—	—	11%	31%	—	—	—	2%	24%
OpinionWay	11.04.14–13.04.14	988	0%	1%	2%	11%	2%	—	19%	—	—	—	8%	29%	—	—	—	3%	25%
BVA	02.05.13–03.05.13	1,086	0%	1%	1%	11%	2%	—	20%	—	—	—	10%	29%	—	—	—	2%	24%
Future Thinking	26.04.13–29.04.13	1,000	1%	1%	1%	16%	3%	—	18%	—	—	—	14%	—	—	—	11%	4%	31%
			1%	<0.5%	1%	16%	2%	—	18%	—	—	—	13%	—	—	16%	—	3%	29%
			<0.5%	<0.5%	1%	15%	2%	—	15%	—	—	—	10%	32%	—	—	—	3%	22%
CSA	26.04.13–28.04.13	993	1%	<0.5%	1%	12%	2%	—	19%	—	—	—	7%	34%	—	—	—	1%	23%
OpinionWay	16.04.13–17.04.13	971	0%	0.5%	0.5%	11%	3%	—	23%	—	—	—	11%	28%	—	—	—	2%	21%
Ifop	11.04.13–15.04.13	1,967	<0.5%	0.5%	1%	11%	1.5%	—	22%	—	—	—	10%	30%	—	—	—	2%	22%
Ifop	09.10.12–12.10.12	1,607	0%	0.5%	1.5%	10%	2%	—	28%	—	—	—	7%	29.5%	—	—	—	2%	19.5%

Election	22.04.12	N/A	0.2%	0.6%	1.1%	11.1%	2.3%	—	28.7%	—	—	—	9.1%	27.2%	—	—	—	1.8%	17.9%

Opinion polls for expected second round of voting

Fillon–Le Pen

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Abstention/ protest vote/ spoilt vote

				François Fillon UMP/LR	Marine Le Pen FN
Ifop	3–4 Sep 2014	994	N/A	57%	43%
Ifop	12–14 Apr 2016	1,876	N/A	63%	37%
BVA	15–17 Apr 2016	949	33%	64%	36%
BVA	13–16 May 2016	927	30%	65%	35%
BVA	10-12 June 2016	910	32%	65%	35%
Ifop	14-17 June 2016	1,858	N/A	60%	40%
BVA	9-11 September 2016	912	36%	61%	39%
Odoxa	25 November 2016	998	N/A	71%	29%
Harris Interactive	27 November 2016	6,093	N/A	67%	33%

Macron–Le Pen

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Abstention/ protest vote/ spoilt vote

				Emmanuel Macron EM	Marine Le Pen FN
Odoxa	14–15 Jan 2016	1,011	28%	65%	35%
Odoxa	14–15 Apr 2016	949	34%	61%	39%

Valls–Le Pen

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Abstention/ protest vote/ spoilt vote

				Manuel Valls PS	Marine Le Pen FN
Ifop	21–23 Jan 2015	983	–	61%	39%
CSA	27–29 Jan 2015	951	32%	60%	40%
Odoxa	29–30 Apr 2015	1,021	27%	55%	45%

Hypothetical Polling

Hypothetical polling

Hollande–Sarkozy

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Abstention/ protest vote/ spoilt vote

				François Hollande PS – Incumbent	Nicolas Sarkozy UMP/LR
Second round results	6 May 2012	N/A	24.3%	51.6%	48.4%

Ifop	9–12 Oct 2012	1,607	–	50%	50%
Opinion Way	16–17 Apr 2013	1,022	28%	47%	53%
CSA	26–28 Apr 2013	1,027	27%	39%	61%
Opinion Way	11–13 Apr 2014	1,023	36%	39%	61%
Ifop	3–4 Sep 2014	994	–	39%	61%
Ifop	21–23 Jan 2015	983	–	43%	57%
Opinion Way	15–16 Apr 2015	1,016	40%	40%	60%
Odoxa	29–30 Apr 2015	1,021	35%	40%	60%
Odoxa	21–22 May 2015	911	41%	42%	58%
Odoxa	14–15 Jan 2016	1,011	44%	46%	54%

Hollande–Le Pen

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Abstention/ protest vote/ spoilt vote

				François Hollande PS – Incumbent	Marine Le Pen FN
Opinion Way	11–13 Apr 2014	1,023	36%	54%	46%
Ifop	3–4 Sep 2014	994	–	46%	54%
Ifop	21–23 Jan 2015	983	–	55%	45%
CSA	27–29 Jan 2015	951	37%	51%	49%
Opinion Way	15–16 Apr 2015	1,016	33%	52%	48%
Odoxa	29–30 Apr 2015	1,021	30%	48%	52%
Harris	13 Dec 2015	1,020	–	60%	40%
Odoxa	14–15 Jan 2016	1,011	35%	54%	46%
Ifop	12–14 Apr 2016	1,876	–	47%	53%
Odoxa	14–15 Apr 2016	949	42%	47%	53%

Hollande–Fillon

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Abstention/ protest vote/ spoilt vote

				François Hollande PS – Incumbent	François Fillon UMP/LR
Ifop	3–4 Sep 2014	994	–	38%	62%

Hollande–Juppé

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Abstention/ protest vote/ spoilt vote

				François Hollande PS – Incumbent	Alain Juppé UMP/LR
Ifop	3–4 Sep 2014	994	–	34%	66%
Ifop	21–23 Jan 2015	983	–	40%	60%
Opinion Way	15–16 Apr 2015	1,016	35%	30%	70%
Odoxa	21–22 May 2015	911	37%	29%	71%
Odoxa	14–15 Jan 2016	1,011	34%	30%	70%

Juppé–Le Pen

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Abstention/ protest vote/ spoilt vote

				Alain Juppé UMP/LR	Marine Le Pen FN
Ifop	3–4 Sep 2014	994	–	64%	36%
CSA	27–29 Jan 2015	951	32%	62%	38%
Opinion Way	15–16 Apr 2015	1,016	26%	70%	30%
Odoxa	21–22 May 2015	911	27%	67%	33%
Harris	13 Dec 2015	1,020	–	71%	29%
TNS Sofres	14–15 Dec 2015	1,000	33%	70%	30%
Odoxa	14–15 Jan 2016	1,011	24%	70%	30%
Ifop	12–14 Apr 2016	1,876	–	67%	33%
Odoxa	14–15 Apr 2016	949	27%	66%	34%
BVA	15–17 Apr 2016	949	23%	70%	30%
BVA	13–16 May 2016	927	20%	70%	30%
BVA	8–10 Jul 2016	936	20%	68%	32%

Le Maire–Le Pen

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Abstention/ protest vote/ spoilt vote

				Bruno Le Maire UMP/LR	Marine Le Pen FN
Ifop	12–14 Apr 2016	1,876	–	60%	40%
BVA	15–17 Apr 2016	949	39%	61%	39%
BVA	13–16 May 2016	927	38%	58%	42%

Macron–Juppé

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Abstention/ protest vote/ spoilt vote

				Emmanuel Macron En Marche!	Alain Juppé UMP/LR
Odoxa	14–15 Jan 2016	1,011	36%	39%	61%

Macron–Sarkozy

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Abstention/ protest vote/ spoilt vote

				Emmanuel Macron En Marche!	Nicolas Sarkozy UMP/LR
Odoxa	14–15 Jan 2016	1,011	36%	64%	36%

Sarkozy–Le Pen

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Abstention/ protest vote/ spoilt vote

				Nicolas Sarkozy UMP/LR	Marine Le Pen FN
CSA	26–28 Apr 2013	1,027	36%	69%	31%
Opinion Way	11–13 Apr 2014	1,023		60%	40%
Ifop	3–4 Sep 2014	994	–	60%	40%
Ifop	21–23 Jan 2015	983	–	60%	40%
CSA	27–29 Jan 2015	951	43%	57%	43%
Opinion Way	15–16 Apr 2015	1,016	39%	63%	37%
Odoxa	29–30 Apr 2015	1,021	34%	59%	41%
Odoxa	21–22 May 2015	911	43%	59%	41%
Harris	13 Dec 2015	1,020	–	62%	38%
TNS Sofres	14–15 Dec 2015	1,000	44%	64%	36%
Odoxa	14–15 Jan 2016	1,011	43%	56%	44%
Ifop	12–14 Apr 2016	1,876	–	58%	42%
Odoxa	14–15 Apr 2016	949	45%	55%	45%
BVA	15–17 Apr 2016	949	38%	60%	40%
BVA	13–16 May 2016	927	39%	56%	44%
BVA	8–10 Jul 2016	936	38%	58%	42%

Valls–Sarkozy

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Abstention/ protest vote/ spoilt vote

				Manuel Valls PS	Nicolas Sarkozy UMP/LR
Odoxa	29–30 Apr 2015	1,021	32%	48%	52%