Opinion polling for the next Hungarian parliamentary election
In the run up to the next Hungarian parliamentary election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Hungary. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.
The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous general election, held on 6 April 2014, to the present day. The next general election is scheduled to be held in or before spring 2018.
Poll results
Methodological note: The Hungarian pollsters generally release separate data about the support of political parties among all eligible voters (which tends to include a high percentage for "don't know/no preference"), and about the support of political parties among "active" or "certain" voters. The table below refers to the latter data.[lower-alpha 1]
Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a party, the party's cell corresponding to that poll is shown empty.
| Date | Polling Firm/Source | Fidesz | MSZP | Jobbik | LMP | Együtt | DK | PM | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 Nov | Nézőpont | 46.0 | 10.0 | 26.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 24.0 |
| Nov | Medián | 53.0 | 14.0 | 16.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 37.0 |
| 7-14 Nov | ZRi | 44.0 | 16.0 | 21.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 23.0 |
| 24-26 Oct | Nézőpont | 45.0 | 9.0 | 23.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 22.0 |
| 16-26 Oct | Republikon | 52.0 | 17.0 | 19.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 33.0 |
| 14-23 Oct | Tárki | 54.0 | 15.0 | 17.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 37.0 |
| 12-21 Oct | Iránytű | 50.0 | 10.0 | 24.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 26.0 |
| 11-13 Oct | Publicus | 50.0 | 19.0 | 17.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 31.0 |
| 9-16 Oct | ZRi | 49.0 | 14.0 | 17.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 32.0 |
| Sep | Századvég | 47.0 | 15.0 | 21.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 26.0 |
| 18-21 Sep | Nézőpont | 49.0 | 10.0 | 20.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 29.0 |
| 9-13 Sep | Medián | 54.0 | 15.0 | 17.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 37.0 |
| 4-11 Sep | ZRI | 45.0 | 15.0 | 19.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 26.0 |
| Aug | Republikon | 48.0 | 18.0 | 19.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 29.0 |
| 12–15 Aug | Nézőpont | 45.0 | 10.0 | 22.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 23.0 |
| 11–16 Aug | Publicus | 47.0 | 20.0 | 18.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 27.0 |
| 4–11 Aug | ZRI | 43.0 | 17.0 | 22.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 21.0 |
| 1–7 Aug | Iránytű | 46.0 | 11.0 | 25.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 21.0 |
| Jul | Republikon | 43.0 | 17.0 | 20.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 23.0 |
| 15–24 Jul | Tárki | 49.0 | 13.0 | 22.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 27.0 |
| 15–17 Jul | Nézőpont | 44.0 | 12.0 | 21.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 23.0 |
| 10–17 Jul | ZRI | 46.0 | 19.0 | 18.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 27.0 |
| 1–6 Jul | Századvég | 45.0 | 15.0 | 23.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 22.0 |
| 1–6 Jul | Publicus | 44.0 | 21.0 | 18.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 23.0 |
| 17–19 Jun | Nézőpont | 40.0 | 11.0 | 24.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 16.0 |
| Jun | Medián | 56.0 | 14.0 | 15.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 41.0 |
| 10–15 Jun | Publicus | 45.0 | 20.0 | 18.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 25.0 |
| 5–12 Jun | ZRI | 39.0 | 19.0 | 19.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 20.0 |
| 1–5 Jun | Századvég | 44.0 | 16.0 | 24.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 20.0 |
| 25–31 May | Republikon | 43.0 | 20.0 | 18.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 23.0 |
| 19–25 May | Iránytű | 44.0 | 12.0 | 26.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 18.0 |
| 13–19 May | Nézőpont | 41.0 | 11.0 | 27.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 14.0 |
| 12–17 May | Publicus | 43.0 | 21.0 | 19.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 22.0 |
| 7–14 May | ZRI | 43.0 | 18.0 | 20.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 23.0 |
| 15–20 Apr | Nézőpont | 40.0 | 13.0 | 26.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 14.0 |
| 14–20 Apr | Tárki | 47.0 | 18.0 | 20.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 27.0 |
| 8–12 Apr | Publicus | 46.0 | 20.0 | 19.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 26.0 |
| 4–11 Apr | ZRI | 40.0 | 17.0 | 20.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 20.0 |
| 1–7 Apr | Medián | 50.0 | 13.0 | 18.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 32.0 |
| Apr | Republikon | 51.0 | 19.0 | 17.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 32.0 |
| 18–21 Mar | Nézőpont | 41.0 | 12.0 | 24.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 17.0 |
| 10–17 Mar | Publicus | 47.0 | 21.0 | 18.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 26.0 |
| 6–13 Mar | ZRI | 44.0 | 18.0 | 17.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 26.0 |
| Mar | Republikon | 50.0 | 19.0 | 17.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 31.0 |
| 20–25 Feb | Századvég | 46.0 | 14.0 | 23.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 23.0 |
| 18–28 Feb | Iránytű | 42.0 | 11.0 | 25.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 17.0 |
| 12–17 Feb | Nézőpont | 44.0 | 11.0 | 23.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 21.0 |
| 9–11 Feb | Publicus | 48.0 | 19.0 | 17.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 29.0 |
| Feb | Republikon | 49.0 | 19.0 | 22.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 27.0 |
| Feb | ZRI | 48.0 | 15.0 | 17.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 31.0 |
| 22–27 Jan | Medián | 53.0 | 15.0 | 19.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 34.0 |
| 22–26 Jan | Századvég | 45.0 | 14.0 | 22.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 23.0 |
| 15–20 Jan | Tárki | 54.0 | 12.0 | 20.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 34.0 |
| 15–19 Jan | Nézőpont | 44.0 | 15.0 | 23.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 21.0 |
| 12–17 Jan | Publicus | 49.0 | 18.0 | 17.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 31.0 |
| 2016 | ||||||||||
| 3–7 Dec | Nézőpont | 48.0 | 11.0 | 21.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 27.0 |
| 2–5 Dec | Publicus | 49.0 | 16.0 | 21.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 28.0 |
| 27 Nov–1 Dec | Medián | 51.0 | 11.0 | 21.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 30.0 |
| 14–19 Nov | Nézőpont | 48.0 | 9.0 | 22.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 26.0 |
| 17–21 Oct | Nézőpont | 45.0 | 10.0 | 22.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 23.0 |
| 16–23 Oct | Tárki | 51.0 | 14.0 | 23.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 28.0 |
| 14–26 Oct | Iránytű | 47.0 | 10.0 | 25.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 22.0 |
| 9–15 Oct | Publicus | 45.0 | 18.0 | 24.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 21.0 |
| 11–15 Sep | Medián | 50.0 | 15.0 | 22.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 28.0 |
| 7–15 Sep | Ipsos | 41.0 | 17.0 | 26.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 15.0 |
| 1–4 Sep | Századvég | 41.0 | 16.0 | 26.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | (Együtt) | 2.0 | 15.0 |
| 14–19 Aug | Nézőpont | 40.0 | 10.0 | 26.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 14.0 |
| 6–12 Aug | Publicus | 42.0 | 19.0 | 24.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 18.0 |
| 24–29 Jul | Nézőpont | 41.0 | 11.0 | 26.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 15.0 |
| 17–21 Jul | Tárki | 39.0 | 19.0 | 24.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 15.0 |
| 19–25 Jun | Nézőpont | 41.0 | 12.0 | 26.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 15.0 |
| 10–14 Jun | Századvég | 40.0 | 15.0 | 27.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | (Együtt) | 2.0 | 13.0 |
| 7–9 Jul | Publicus | 42.0 | 20.0 | 23.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 19.0 |
| 3–11 Jun | Iránytű | 42.0 | 11.0 | 28.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 14.0 |
| 1–8 Jun | Ipsos | 38.0 | 15.0 | 28.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 |
| May | Medián | 44.0 | 12.0 | 24.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 20.0 |
| 16–22 May | Nézőpont | 39.0 | 12.0 | 25.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 14.0 |
| 20–25 Apr | Nézőpont | 36.0 | 13.0 | 28.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 |
| 16–23 Apr | Tárki | 38.0 | 17.0 | 24.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 14.0 |
| 12–19 Apr | Ipsos | 38.0 | 17.0 | 27.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 11.0 |
| 10–15 Apr | Századvég | 38.0 | 17.0 | 28.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | (Együtt) | 1.0 | 10.0 |
| 27–31 Mar | Medián | 40.0 | 17.0 | 25.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 15.0 |
| 21–27 Mar | Nézőpont | 44.0 | 10.0 | 23.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 12.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 21.0 |
| 6–13 Mar | Ipsos | 37.0 | 19.0 | 28.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 |
| 5–10 Mar | Századvég | 41.0 | 18.0 | 27.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | (Együtt) | 1.0 | 14.0 |
| 21–24 Feb | Nézőpont | 42.0 | 13.0 | 28.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 14.0 |
| 6–11 Feb | Medián | 45.0 | 17.0 | 21.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | (Együtt) | 2.0 | 24.0 |
| 5–10 Feb | Századvég | 45.0 | 19.0 | 25.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | (Együtt) | 1.0 | 20.0 |
| 1–7 Feb | Ipsos | 40.0 | 19.0 | 25.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 15.0 |
| 24–26 Jan | Nézőpont | 40.0 | 12.0 | 27.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | (Együtt) | 3.0 | 13.0 |
| 16–22 Jan | Tárki | 41.0 | 18.0 | 20.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | (Együtt) | 1.0 | 21.0 |
| 15–20 Jan | Századvég | 45.0 | 18.0 | 24.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | (Együtt) | 2.0 | 21.0 |
| 11–18 Jan | Iránytű | 39.0 | 15.0 | 24.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 15.0 |
| 3–10 Jan | Ipsos | 44.0 | 19.0 | 24.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 20.0 |
| 2015 | ||||||||||
| 15–20 Dec | Századvég | 44.0 | 17.0 | 22.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | (Együtt) | 3.0 | 22.0 |
| 9–16 Dec | Nézőpont | 40.0 | 12.0 | 24.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | (Együtt) | 3.0 | 16.0 |
| 1–8 Dec | Ipsos | 45.0 | 18.0 | 24.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 21.0 |
| 28 Nov–2 Dec | Medián | 38.0 | 19.0 | 27.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | (Együtt) | 4.0 | 11.0 |
| 13–23 Nov | Tárki | 45.0 | 20.0 | 21.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | (Együtt) | 0.0 | 24.0 |
| 10–17 Nov | Ipsos | 48.0 | 15.0 | 21.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | (Együtt) | 5.0 | 27.0 |
| 3–7 Nov | Nézőpont | 40.0 | 9.0 | 26.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | (Együtt) | 2.0 | 14.0 |
| 14–20 Oct | Tárki | 55.0 | 16.0 | 17.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | (Együtt) | 1.0 | 38.0 |
| 1–7 Oct | Ipsos | 55.0 | 15.0 | 16.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | (Együtt) | 2.0 | 39.0 |
| 22–26 Sep | Nézőpont | 45.0 | 12.0 | 20.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | (Együtt) | 0.0 | 25.0 |
| 22–25 Sep | Századvég | 54.0 | 15.0 | 17.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | (Együtt) | 2.0 | 37.0 |
| 19–23 Sep | Medián | 50.0 | 15.0 | 21.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | (Együtt) | 1.0 | 29.0 |
| 10–17 Sep | Tárki | 54.0 | 18.0 | 15.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | (Együtt) | 1.0 | 36.0 |
| 7–14 Sep | Ipsos | 56.0 | 16.0 | 17.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | (Együtt) | 0.0 | 39.0 |
| 25–30 Aug | Nézőpont | 42.0 | 11.0 | 26.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | (Együtt) | 0.0 | 16.0 |
| 5–12 Aug | Ipsos | 49.0 | 18.0 | 19.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | (Együtt) | 3.0 | 30.0 |
| 22–25 Jul | Századvég | 53.0 | 12.0 | 18.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | (Együtt) | 2.0 | 35.0 |
| 21–24 Jul | Nézőpont | 41.0 | 13.0 | 23.0 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | (Együtt) | 1.0 | 18.0 |
| 16–22 Jul | Tárki | 55.0 | 15.0 | 16.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | (Együtt) | 2.0 | 39.0 |
| 13–21 Jul | Ipsos | 56.0 | 15.0 | 16.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | (Együtt) | 3.0 | 40.0 |
| 12–18 Jul | Iránytű | 51.0 | 10.0 | 19.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | (Együtt) | 2.0 | 32.0 |
| 16–18 Jun | Nézőpont | 47.0 | 14.0 | 19.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | (Együtt) | 0.0 | 28.0 |
| 11–17 Jun | Tárki | 56.0 | 16.0 | 15.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | (Együtt) | 1.0 | 40.0 |
| 6–13 Jun | Ipsos | 57.0 | 10.0 | 18.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | (Együtt) | 1.0 | 39.0 |
| 25 May | EP Election | 51.5 | 10.9 | 14.7 | 5.0 | 7.3 | 9.8 | (Együtt) | 0.9 | 36.8 |
| 14–18 May | Nézőpont | 46.0 | 17.0 | 15.0 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | (Együtt) | 2.0 | 29.0 |
| 7–15 May | Tárki | 55.0 | 15.0 | 16.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | (Együtt) | 3.0 | 39.0 |
| 6–13 May | Ipsos | 56.0 | 16.0 | 17.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | (Együtt) | 1.0 | 39.0 |
| 6–8 May | Nézőpont | 46.0 | 15.0 | 15.0 | 10.0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | (Együtt) | 0.0 | 31.0 |
| 25–29 Apr | Medián | 56.0 | 14.0 | 17.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | (Együtt) | 3.0 | 39.0 |
| 6 Apr 2014 | National Election | 44.9 | 25.6 | 20.2 | 5.3 | (Unity) | (Unity) | (Együtt) | 4.0 | 19.3 |
Notes
- ↑ In addition, confusingly, two pollsters publish parallel data even about "active" or "certain" voters. Thus, Medián publishes different numbers for the categories of "választani tudók" and "választani tudó "biztos" szavazók", though they don't tend to differ much – the data in the table here generally refers to the latter. Tárki's polling releases always highlight results about "A pártok támogatottsága a pártválasztók körében", and those are included in the table here (and can be reviewed further back into time in this database on their website), but their website also provides a separate database with somewhat different polling data on "A pártok támogatottságának alakulása a biztos szavazó pártválasztók körében". Finally, in February 2013 Nézőpont switched to a system in which it distinguishes between "the entire population" and "active voters", but even the "active voters" sample always includes a percentage of those who are "undecided but favour a change in government" and a percentage of those who are "undecided altogether". Those numbers are given in the footnotes for each Nézőpont poll in the table.
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