Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario leadership election, 2015

Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario leadership election, 2015
Date May 9, 2015
Convention Toronto Congress Centre
Resigning leader Tim Hudak
Won by Patrick Brown
Ballots 1
Candidates 2
Entrance Fee $75,000 fee + $25,000 deposit
Spending limit $1.25 million

The 2015 Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario leadership election was held on May 9, 2015, as a result of the resignation of Ontario Progressive Conservative leader Tim Hudak following the provincial election on June 12, 2014, his second loss in a row as party leader.

Rules and procedure

The party's 76,587 members[1] were eligible to cast votes by preferential ballot. The vote will be weighted so that each of the province's 107 ridings that has more than 100 votes cast are allocated 100 electoral votes;[2] ridings in which fewer than 100 party members vote will not be weighted, but will instead have the votes counted as individual votes.[3] If at least 100 members votes in each riding the number of electoral college votes needed to win will be 5,351.[1] The registration fee was $75,000 plus a refundable deposit of $25,000[3] and the spending limit was $1.25 million.[4] 20% of money raised by candidates after the first $100,000 will be transferred to the PC Ontario Fund.[4] The lowest ranked candidate will be dropped from the next round as ballots are counted, and the first candidate to get 50 per cent of the votes will be declared the new leader.[4]

Timeline

Interim leadership

The following MPPs stood in the July 2, 2014, election by caucus to be interim leader of the party until the leadership election for a permanent leader is held:

Jim Wilson was elected by caucus to be interim leader and also assumed the position of Leader of the Opposition. Vote totals were not released.[14]

Declared candidates

Patrick Brown

Patrick Brown
Background

Federal Conservative Party MP for Barrie (2006–2015), Barrie City Councillor (2000–2006), President of the Progressive Conservative Youth Federation (PCYF) (1998–2002). Former vice-president of the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario. Lawyer by profession.

Date candidacy declared: September 28, 2014[15]
Supporters
Support from caucus members (5): Rick Nicholls (Chatham-Kent—Essex), Jack MacLaren (Carleton—Mississippi Mills), Toby Barrett (Haldimand—Norfolk), Bob Bailey (Sarnia—Lambton), Monte McNaughton (Lambton—Kent—Middlesex (former leadership candidate)[12]
Support from federal caucus members (24): Gord Brown (Leeds—Grenville), Paul Calandra (Oak Ridges—Markham), Rick Dykstra (St. Catharines),[16] Dave Mackenzie (Oxford),[17] Phil McColeman (Brant), Brad Butt (Mississauga—Streetsville),[18] Chungsen Leung (Willowdale), Hon. Tim Uppal (Alberta MP and Minister of State for Multiculturalism), Hon. Bal Gosal (Bramalea—Gore—Malton), Parm Gill (Brampton—Springdale), Kyle Seeback (Brampton West), Costas Menegakis (Richmond Hill), Mark Adler (politician) (York Centre), Wladyslaw Lizon (Mississauga East—Cooksville), Joe Daniel (Don Valley East), Pierre Lemieux (Glengarry—Prescott—Russell), Royal Galipeau (Ottawa—Orléans), Dean Allison (Niagara West—Glanbrook), Senator Don Meredith, Senator Lynn Beyak, Senator Salma Ataullahjan, Senator Thanh Hai Ngo, Senator Tobias Enverga, Senator Victor Oh
Support from former provincial caucus members (4): Steve Gilchrist (Scarborough East, 1995–2003); Jane McKenna (Burlington, 2011–2014); John Hastings (Etobicoke North), 1995–2003; Dave Boushy (Sarnia), 1995–1999
Other prominent supporters: Prime Minister of India Narendra Modi;[19] Former Senator Consiglio Di Nino;[20] Former Senator Hugh Segal; Ken Zeise, Former PC Party of Ontario President 2008–2012; Derek Parks, 2014 Thunder Bay—Superior North candidate; Nita Kang, 2014 Scarborough Southwest candidate; Jeff Bennett, 2014 London West candidate; Andrew Ffrench, 2014 York South—Weston; Kevin Gaudet, 2014 Pickering—Scarborough East candidate; Roxanne Villeneuve, 2014 Glengarry—Prescott—Russell candidate; Zack Goldford, President, Ontario PC Youth Association; Alanna Newman, former OPCYA President; Stuart Clark, former Ontario PC Campus Association President; Joe DiPaola, former Richmond Hill, Ontario City Councillor, 2006 Conservative Party of Canada; candidate;[21] former Senator Asha Seth;[22] former Senator Vim Kochhar; Toronto Deputy Mayor Denzil Minnan-Wong;[23] Mark Towhey, former Chief of Staff to Mayor Rob Ford;[24] Laj Prasher, President Canada India Foundation; Darma Jain, ICCC President; Naval Bajaj and Satish Takir, ICCC Past Presidents; Alex Nuttall, CPC Federal Candidate, Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte; Michael Parsa, CPC Federal Candidate, Richmond Hill; Mat Siscoe and Sandie Bellows, 2014 Provincial Candidates and St. Catharines City Councillors; Ross Romano, Sault Ste. Marie City Councillor for Ward 6; Sergio Morales, Barrie City Councillor; Scott McPherson, Riding President for Simcoe North and Oro-Medonte City Councillor – Ward 2; Devon White Former MLB player and World Series Champion; NHL players: Dale Hawerchuk, Gary Leeman, Kris King, Mike Gartner, Troy Crowder, Wayne Gretzky; Paul Godfrey, CEO of Postmedia; Derek Burney, former Canadian ambassador to the U.S.[25]
Policies:

Christine Elliott

Christine Elliott
Background

MPP since 2006 (Whitby—Ajax (2006–2007), Whitby—Oshawa (2007–2015). Deputy Leader of the Opposition and Critic for Health and Long-Term Care since 2009. Ran in the 2009 leadership election, placing third. Widow of former federal Minister of Finance Jim Flaherty. Prior to entering politics, Elliott was a lawyer who practiced corporate, estate and real estate law.

Date candidacy declared: June 25, 2014[26]
Supporters
Support from caucus members (17): Ted Arnott (Wellington—Halton Hills), Todd Smith (Prince Edward—Hastings), Michael Harris (Kitchener—Conestoga), Norm Miller (Parry Sound—Muskoka), Jeff Yurek (Elgin—Middlesex—London), Sylvia Jones (Dufferin—Caledon), Laurie Scott (Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock), Bill Walker (Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound), Lisa Thompson (Huron—Bruce), Gila Martow (Thornhill), Ernie Hardeman (Oxford), Victor Fedeli (Nipissing), Randy Pettapiece (Perth—Wellington),[27] Lisa MacLeod (Nepean—Carleton), Steve Clark (Leeds—Grenville), Julia Munro (York—Simcoe), Jim McDonell (Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry)[28]
Support from federal caucus members (28): Chris Alexander (Ajax—Pickering), Bruce Stanton (Simcoe North), Mike Wallace (Burlington), Peter Kent (Thornhill), Erin O'Toole (Durham), Ed Holder (London West), Sen. Nicole Eaton, Michael Chong (Wellington—Halton Hills), Rob Nicholson (Niagara Falls), Kellie Leitch (Simcoe—Grey), Chungsen Leung (Willowdale), Costas Menegakis (Richmond Hill), Peter Braid (Kitchener—Waterloo), Daryl Kramp (Prince Edward—Hastings), Rick Norlock (Northumberland—Quinte West), Ted Opitz (Etobicoke Centre), Joe Preston (Elgin—Middlesex—London), Bernard Trottier (Etobicoke—Lakeshore), Dave Van Kesteren (Chatham-Kent—Essex), Terence Young (Oakville), Pat Perkins (Whitby—Oshawa), David Sweet (Ancaster—Dundas—Flamborough—Westdale), John Baird (Ottawa West—Nepean), John Carmichael (Don Valley West), Sen. Linda Frum, Sen. Marjory LeBreton, Lisa Raitt (Halton), Jay Aspin (Nipissing—Timiskaming)
Support from former provincial caucus members (12): Bill Davis (Premier of Ontario, 1971–1985; MPP 1959–1985),[29] Peter Shurman (Thornhill, 2007–2013), Jerry Ouellette (Oshawa, 1995–2014), Bart Maves (Niagara Falls, 1995–2003), Wayne Wettlaufer (Kitchener Centre, 1995-2003), John O'Toole (Durham, 1995–2014), Barb Fisher (Bruce, 1995–1999), Phil Gillies (Brantford, 1981–1987), Brad Clark (Stoney Creek, 1999–2003), Joyce Savoline (Burlington, 2007-2011), Andy Brandt (Sarnia, 1981-1990, former interim leader), Doug Holyday (Etobicoke—Lakeshore, 2013-2014, former Deputy Mayor of Toronto)
Other prominent supporters: Sally Barnes, former Press Secretary to Premier Bill Davis; Larry Scott, 2011 and 2014 Oakville candidate; David Ramalho, 2014 Scarborough Centre candidate; Ken Kirupa, 2014 Scarborough—Guildwood candidate; Farid Wasseff, 2014 Oak Ridges—Markham candidate; Tracey Weiler, 2014 Kitchener—Waterloo candidate; Chris Robinson, 2014 London—Fanshawe candidate; Liang Chen, 2014 Scarborough—Agincourt candidate; Steve Black, 2014 Timmins—James Bay candidate; Todd McCarthy, 2011 and 2014 Ajax—Pickering candidate; Nancy Branscome, former London City Councillor, 2011 and 2014 London North Centre candidate;[30] Doug Ford, former Toronto City Councillor (2010–2014) and 2014 Toronto mayoral election candidate;[31] Rick Byers, Bay Street executive (Borealis Infrastructure) and former federal and provincial candidate in Oakville;[32][33] Don Mitchell, Mayor of Whitby; Rob Ford, Toronto City Councillor and former mayor (2010-2014); Hazel McCallion, former Mayor of Mississauga
Policies:

Withdrawn

Vic Fedeli

Background

MPP for Nipissing (2011–present), Opposition Finance Critic (2013–present), Energy Critic (2011–2013), Finance Critic (2013–Present), Fedeli served as mayor of North Bay, Ontario (2003–2010) for two terms, during which he donated his entire salary to charity. Before entering politics, he ran Fedeli Advertising, which in 1989 was ranked by Profit - the magazine for Small Business as the firm 34th on its list of 50 Best Places to Work in Canada. Fedeli was also recognized as one of Canada's Most Successful Entrepreneurs in an episode of MoneyMakers, hosted by Everett Banning. Additionally, Fedeli served as the dollar-per-year chairman of a non-profit organization in North Bay. Fedeli's campaign is called "OntarioFirst".[34]

Date candidacy declared: September 24, 2014[35]
Date withdrawn: February 4, 2015, endorsed Elliott[36]
Supporters
Support from caucus members: Randy Pettapiece (Perth—Wellington)
Support from federal caucus members: Jay Aspin (Nipissing—Timiskaming)
Support from former provincial caucus members:
Other prominent supporters: Paula Peroni, 2014 Sudbury candidate and Sudbury Catholic District School Board trustee;[37]
Policies

Lisa MacLeod

Background

MPP for Nepean—Carleton (2006–present), Opposition Treasury Board Critic (2014–present), Energy and Francophone Affairs Critic (2013–2014), Education Critic (2011–2013), Revenue and Government Accountability Critic (2009–2011).

Date candidacy declared: October 6, 2014[38]
Date withdrawn: February 6, 2015, endorsed Elliott[28]
Supporters
Support from caucus members: Steve Clark (Leeds—Grenville), Garfield Dunlop (Simcoe North), Julia Munro (York—Simcoe), Jim McDonell (Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry)
Support from federal caucus members: Senator Bob Runciman, former interim PC Leader and cabinet minister, former MPP for Leeds—Grenville[39]
Support from former provincial caucus members: Norm Sterling (Carleton—Mississippi Mills, Lanark—Carleton, Carleton, 1979–2011)[40]
Other prominent supporters:
Policies:

Monte McNaughton

Background

MPP for Lambton—Kent—Middlesex (2011–present), Opposition Critic for Citizenship, Immigration and International Trade (2014–present), Labour Critic (2013–2014), Economic Development and Innovation Critic (2011–2013). Prior to entering provincial politics, McNaughton sat on the city council of Newbury and was general manager and co-owner of McNaughton Family Shopping Centre in Newbury. He also served as chair of the Newbury Economic Development Committee and was president of the Strathroy and District Chamber of Commerce in 2009–10.

Date candidacy declared: September 17, 2014[41]
Date withdrawn: April 9, 2015; endorsed Brown.[12]
Supporters
Support from caucus members: Bob Bailey (Sarnia—Lambton)
Supports from federal caucus members:
Supports from former provincial caucus members: Darcy McKeough (Kent West, 1963–1967; Chatham—Kent 1967–1981), Marcel Beaubien, (Lambton then Lambton—Kent—Middlesex, 1995–2003), Andrew Naismith Watson, (Chatham—Kent 1978–1985)[42]
Other prominent supporters: Rob Ford, Toronto city councillor and former mayor (2010–2014)[43]
Policies: Social conservative

Declined

Results

Results announced in Toronto on May 9, 2015

Ballot Count

Candidate Weighted votes
(sum of percentages in each riding) 		Percentage
Patrick Brown6,54361.8
Christine Elliott4,04038.2
Total10,583100

Eligible voters: 76,587; turnout: 49.3%[53]

Opinion polling

All Ontarians

Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
Forum Research
Sample size: 881		 March 26, 2015 Christine Elliott
24%		 Monte McNaughton 7% Patrick Brown
6%		 Someone else 29%, Don't know 34%
Forum Research
Sample size: 1,079		 September 30-October 1, 2014 Christine Elliott
14%		 Lisa MacLeod
9%		 Patrick Brown
5%		 Vic Fedeli 4%, Monte McNaughton 4%, Someone else 14%, Don't know 43%
Forum Research
Sample size: 810		 July 3, 2014 Christine Elliott
21%		 John Baird
9%		 Doug Ford
8%		 Tony Clement 7%, Lisa MacLeod 6%, Lisa Raitt 3%, Someone else 15%, Don't know 30%

Progressive Conservative supporters only

Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
Forum Research
Sample size: 310		 March 26, 2015 Christine Elliott
35%		 Monte McNaughton 15% Patrick Brown
11%		 None of these 9%, Don't know 30%
Forum Research
Sample size: 367		 September 30-October 1, 2014 Christine Elliott
24%		 Lisa MacLeod
11%		 Patrick Brown
6%		 Vic Fedeli 5%, Monte McNaughton 3%, Someone else 20%, Don't know 30%
Forum Research
Sample size: 287		 July 3, 2014 Christine Elliott
25%		 John Baird
14%		 Lisa MacLeod
11%		 Tony Clement 7%, Doug Ford 6%, Lisa Raitt 3%, Someone else 15%, Don't know 19%

Progressive Conservative Members Only

Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
Mainstreet Technologies
Sample size: 442		 April 30, 2015 Patrick Brown
62%		 Christine Elliott 33% -
Undecided 5%
Mainstreet Technologies
Sample size: 348		 April 14, 2015 Patrick Brown
47%		 Christine Elliott 41% -
Undecided 12%
Forum Research
Sample size: 65		 March 26, 2015 Christine Elliott
51%		 Monte McNaughton 13% Patrick Brown
10%		 Someone else 14%, Don't know 11%

See also

References

  1. 1 2 3 4 "Time to count the Tories". Toronto Star. May 8, 2015. Retrieved May 8, 2015.
  2. 1 2 3 4 "Ontario Progressive Conservative party to choose new leader next May". National Post. September 21, 2014. Retrieved September 22, 2014.
  3. 1 2 3 4 "Ontario PCs to choose new leader in May". Globe and Mail. September 22, 2014. Retrieved September 21, 2014.
  4. 1 2 3 4 5 "Ontario Tories announce rules for leadership race". Hamilton Spectator. September 22, 2014. Retrieved September 21, 2014.
  5. 1 2 3 "Tim Hudak will step down as Ontario Progressive Conservative Leader July 2". The Globe and Mail. June 18, 2014. Retrieved June 19, 2014.
  6. 1 2 3 4 "Tim Hudak to quit July 2 amid Tory revolt". Toronto Star. June 18, 2014. Retrieved June 18, 2014.
  7. ↑ "Ontario Tories not rushing into a leadership race". Toronto Star. Retrieved July 10, 2014.
  8. 1 2 "Ontario Progressive Conservatives delay leadership race decision". CBC News. July 6, 2014. Retrieved July 6, 2014.
  9. 1 2 Babbage, Maria (August 9, 2014). "New Ontario Conservative leader to be chosen in spring 2015, no specific date set". National Post. Retrieved August 9, 2014.
  10. 1 2 3 "Ontario Tory leadership candidates urge party to broaden support base". thestar.com. 24 November 2014.
  11. ↑ "Lisa MacLeod to withdraw from Progressive Conservative leadership race". Toronto Star. February 5, 2015. Retrieved February 5, 2015.
  12. 1 2 3 "Monte McNaughton drops out of Tory leadership race". Toronto Star. April 9, 2015. Retrieved April 9, 2015.
  13. 1 2 3 "Eastern Ontario MPPs Hillier and Yakabuski seek interim Tory leadership". Ottawa Citizen. June 26, 2014. Retrieved June 28, 2014.
  14. ↑ "Progressive Conservatives pick Jim Wilson as interim leader". Toronto Star. July 2, 2014. Retrieved July 2, 2014.
  15. ↑ "Brown launches bid for Ontario PC leadership, promises 'fresh start'". Globe and Mail. September 28, 2014. Retrieved September 28, 2014.
  16. ↑ "Rick Dykstra will not seek Ontario PC leadership bid". News Talk 610 CKTB Radio. September 12, 2014.
  17. ↑ "Patrick Brown on Twitter". Twitter.
  18. ↑ "Brad Butt on Twitter". Twitter.
  19. ↑ "Patrick Brown's friendship with Modi could reap rewards at the ballot box". The Globe and Mail.
  20. ↑ http://patrickbrown.nationbuilder.com/endorsement
  21. ↑ "Joe DiPaola on Twitter". Twitter.
  22. ↑ "Vote Patrick Brown › Log In". votepatrickbrown.ca.
  23. ↑ "Vote Patrick Brown on Twitter". Twitter.
  24. ↑ "Mark Towhey". twitter.com.
  25. ↑ "Patrick Brown urges 'greater market access' for beer and wine". Toronto Star. April 2, 2015. Retrieved April 2, 2015.
  26. ↑ "Christine Elliott aims to rebuild PC party 'from ground up'". Toronto Star. June 25, 2014. Retrieved June 25, 2014.
  27. ↑ "Martin Regg Cohn on Twitter". Twitter.
  28. 1 2 "Lisa MacLeod endorses Christine Elliott for PC leadership". Toronto Star. February 6, 2015. Retrieved February 6, 2015.
  29. ↑ Cohn, Martin (8 November 2014). "Doug Ford's next conquest could be Ontario's PCs: Cohn". thestar.com. Toronto Star Newspapers Ltd. Retrieved 12 May 2015.
  30. ↑ http://christineelliott.ca/endorsements/
  31. 1 2 "Doug Ford won't enter race for Ontario PC leadership". thestar.com. 27 November 2014.
  32. 1 2 Radwanski, Adam (July 4, 2014). "Outsider Rod Phillips could gain traction in race to succeed Hudak". Globe and Mail. Retrieved July 4, 2014.
  33. 1 2 http://christineelliott.ca/2014/11/08/a-dynamic-start-to-the-elliott-leadership-campaign-with-former-premier-bill-davis-strong-showing-of-supporters/
  34. 1 2 3 "Ontario election 2014: Potential contenders to replace Tim Hudak as PC leader". CBC News. June 12, 2014. Retrieved June 12, 2014.
  35. ↑ "Vic Fedeli launches PC leadership bid with vow to 'restore trust'". Toronto Star. September 24, 2014. Retrieved September 24, 2014.
  36. ↑ "Radical change in PC leadership race as Fedeli drops out". thestar.com. 4 February 2015.
  37. ↑ "PC leadership hopefuls to debate in Sudbury". Sudbury Star.
  38. ↑ "Ottawa MPP Lisa MacLeod enters Ontario PC leadership race". CTV News. October 6, 2014. Retrieved October 6, 2014.
  39. ↑ "Runciman backs Lisa MacLeod for PC leader". Ottawa Sun.
  40. ↑ "Norm Sterling on Lisa MacLeod leadership". CBC.ca Player. 20 October 2014.
  41. ↑ "Monte McNaughton launches bid for Ontario PC leadership". The Globe and Mail. September 17, 2014. Retrieved September 17, 2014.
  42. ↑ "Monte McNaughton on Twitter". Twitter.
  43. ↑ "Rob Ford endorses Monte McNaughton as Progressive Conservative leader". Toronto Star. January 16, 2015. Retrieved January 16, 2015.
  44. 1 2 3 Blizzard, Christina (June 13, 2014). "Who will replace Hudak?". Toronto Sun. Retrieved June 14, 2014.
  45. ↑ "Joanne Chianello on Twitter". Twitter.
  46. ↑ "The Wellington Advertiser". www.wellingtonadvertiser.com.
  47. ↑ "Frustrated Tory MPPs say they were blindsided by Tim Hudak's controversial pledge to cut 100,000 jobs". National Post. June 16, 2014. Retrieved June 17, 2014.
  48. ↑ "Clement dispels rumour about running for Ontario PC leader". My Muskoka Now.
  49. ↑ "News Talk 610 CKTB :: EXCLUSIVE: Rick Dykstra will not seek Ontario PC leadership bid :: News News - Article". 610 CKTB.
  50. ↑ "Who will replace Tim Hudak?". Toronto Star. June 14, 2014. Retrieved June 14, 2014.
  51. ↑ "Touted PC leadership candidate declines to run", National Post, page A5, August 8, 2014
  52. ↑ "Returning to work after health scare just Lisa Raitt's latest comeback". National Post. January 12, 2015. Retrieved January 15, 2015.
  53. ↑ "Patrick Brown elected leader of Ontario PC party". Globe and Mail. May 9, 2015. Retrieved May 9, 2015.
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