Tropical cyclone effects in Europe

Tracks of all cyclones that affected Europe since 1851 until 2012

The effects of tropical cyclones in Europe and their extra-tropical remnants include strong winds, heavy rainfall, and in rare instances, tornadoes. There is only one modern tropical cyclone officially regarded as directly impacting Europe Hurricane Vince in 2005, which struck southwestern Spain having made landfall in the European mainland whilst still fully tropical. Hurricane Debbie in 1961 may have still been tropical when it made landfall in northwestern Ireland, but this is disputed.[nb 1]

Atlantic hurricanes generally do not form east of 30° W, and those that do typically continue to the west. Storms can move around the Bermuda high and turn to the northeast and affect Europe. There have been several extratropical cyclones that struck Europe and were colloquially called hurricanes, some of these European windstorms had hurricane-force winds of over 119 km/h (74 mph). Those storms are not included in this list.[1]

Climatology and predictions

Beginning in the 1860s, advanced meteorological observation stations, as well as ship reports, allowed Atlantic hurricanes to be tracked for extended durations, including to the European mainland in some cases. Most storms that affected Europe have done so from August to October, which is the climatological peak of the Atlantic hurricane season. In a survey of such European tropical cyclones from 1961 to 2010, Dr. Kieran Hickey observed that the storms generally formed west of Africa and recurved to the northeast, or formed off the east coast of the United States and proceeded eastward. Due to their positions far to the west of the rest of Europe, Ireland and the United Kingdom experienced the most effects, although countries as far east as Russia and Cyprus have experienced tropical cyclone impacts.[2]

Tropical-like systems, referred to as "medicanes,"[3] are occasionally observed over the Mediterranean Sea. Several of these storms have developed eye-like features and hurricane-force winds; however, their nature is contrary to that of a tropical cyclone. The majority of these storm originate from deep, cold-core lows which they do not fully disassociate from. Additionally, unlike tropical systems, sea surface temperatures above 26 °C (79 °F) are not required for their development.[4]

In a paper published in April 2013, the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute predicted that by the year 2100, global warming would greatly increase the threat of hurricane-force winds to western Europe from former tropical cyclones and hybrid storms, the latter similar to Hurricane Sandy in 2012. One model predicted an increase from 2 to 13 in the number of cyclones with hurricane-force winds in the waters offshore western Europe. The study suggested that conditions favorable for tropical cyclones would expand 1,100 km (700 mi) to the east. A separate study based out of University of Castile-La Mancha predicted that hurricanes would develop in the Mediterranean Sea in Septembers by the year 2100, which would threaten countries in southern Europe.[5]

Storms

Pre-1900

Track of a hurricane in 1848 that extended from the United States to Europe

1900s

Surface weather analysis of the extratropical remnants of Hurricane Faith over northwestern Europe on September 6, 1966.
Remnants of Hurricane Charley in 1986 moving over Ireland and the United Kingdom as an extratropical storm

2000s

Hurricane Vince on October 9, 2005 northwest of the Madeira Islands, which would later strike southern Spain
Wind damage from the remnants of Hurricane Gordon in Ferrol, Spain
Extratropical cyclone formed from the remains of Hurricane Bertha over Europe

See also

Notes

  1. For the purposes of the article, mainland Europe is defined as the continent of Europe, including the British Isles and Iceland, but excluding the outermost regions of the European Union, such as the offshore archipelagos of the Azores and the Canary Islands.

References

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