U.S. Presidential IQ hoax

The U.S. Presidential IQ hoax was a mid-2001 e-mail and internet hoax that purported to provide a list of estimated IQs of the U.S. Presidents from Franklin D. Roosevelt to George W. Bush.[1]

The hoax

The hoax email showed Bill Clinton having the highest IQ (182) and George W. Bush the lowest (91). However, the numbers claimed in the email were claimed to be fabricated, and the sociologists and institutions (e.g., the "Lovenstein Institute") quoted in the article do not exist (a "Lovenstein Institute" website displays the "report", but it was created after the report's release).[2] The techniques purportedly used to measure IQ of the presidents are not recognized means of measuring IQs. The hoax also contains other factual errors.[1] When the hoax was debunked, it appeared that Bush's IQ and college entrance test scores were never released.

Reports about the hoax

Perhaps because the perception of George W. Bush having low intelligence was claimed by some political pundits[3] as well as by politicians, including a spokesperson for Tony Blair,[4] the hoax report was assumed by some to be true. The British newspaper The Guardian, for example, quoted the report in its diary section of July 19, 2001 and used it to belittle Bush, although the paper published a retraction two days after the Associated Press drew attention to the error.[5][6] Other media outlets to fall for the hoax included Bild (Germany), Pravda (Russia), and the Southland Times (New Zealand) as well as a few U.S. newspapers. The hoax came back to life in March 2007 in Spanish-language media when the Press Agency EFE distributed a piece referring to it. Dozens of media (primarily in their online versions) reproduced EFE's text. Among newspapers publishing the hoax were El País (Spain's leading newspaper),[7] ABC, La Vanguardia, and El Mercurio (Chile's leading newspaper).

IQ estimations by academics

In 2001 political psychologist Aubrey Immelman made an IQ estimation of G. W. Bush based on the SAT Reasoning Test results of Bush (1206) and Al Gore, who achieved IQ scores of 133 and 134 in his school years: "It's tempting to employ Al Gore's IQ:SAT ratio of 134:135 as a formula for estimating Bush's probable intelligence quotient — an exercise in fuzzy statistics that predicts a score of 119."[8]

A 2006 study analyzing presidential IQs by Dean Keith Simonton of U.C. Davis appeared in the journal Political Psychology. Simonton's study analyzed the results of varied and often subjective historical material using the tools of historiometry. It estimated IQs for all US presidents, and validated the headline of the hoax, which stated Bush's was the lowest of any president in the last 50 years, though it estimates his IQ considerably higher (by more than two standard deviations) than the 91 suggested in the hoax report. It rated G.W. Bush second to last since 1900, with an estimated IQ of 119 (the estimates ranged from 111 to 139). Bush's estimated IQ was less than those estimated for Grant (120), Monroe (124), and Harding (124). The same study estimated president Bill Clinton's IQ at 149, behind only those of Kennedy (151), Jefferson (154) and John Quincy Adams (169).[9]

Simonton's 2006 study follows earlier studies done on this subject, including a 1926 study by Catharine Cox Miles. This study concluded that there is a statistically significant correlation of 0.56 between a U.S. President's IQ and his perceived amount of success.[10] It is worth noting that other sources and/or studies might have different results for the IQs of United States Presidents. For instance, John F. Kennedy's IQ has also been estimated to have been significantly lower than in this 2006 study (Chester Arthur biographer Thomas C. Reeves refers to an actual IQ test by Kennedy with a score of 119[11]), while Richard Nixon's IQ has also been estimated to have been significantly higher than in this study.

Here are the full results of the 2006 Simonton study, with some U.S. Presidential IQ estimates from other sources as well (average: 147 IQ points):

Name Political Party Lifespan Time in Office IQ (corrected for data reliability, ages 18-26)[9] Other IQ Estimates
George Washington None/Federalist 17321799 17891797 130
John Adams Federalist 17351826 17971801 145
Thomas Jefferson Democratic-Republican 17431826 18011809 150
James Madison Democratic-Republican 17511836 18091817 150
James Monroe Democratic-Republican 17581831 18171825 128.6
John Quincy Adams Democratic-Republican 17671848 18251829 165
Andrew Jackson Democratic 17671845 18291837 135
Martin van Buren Democratic 17821862 18371841 129.5
William Henry Harrison Whig 17731841 1841 136.3
John Tyler Whig 17901862 18411845 138.1
James Polk Democratic 17951849 18451849 133.4
Zachary Taylor Whig 17841850 18491850 129.8
Millard Fillmore Whig 18001874 18501853 139
Franklin Pierce Democratic 18041869 18531857 137.4
James Buchanan Democratic 17911868 18571861 129.6
Abraham Lincoln Republican 18091865 18611865 140
Andrew Johnson National Union/Democratic 18081875 18651869 129.8
Ulysses Grant Republican 18221885 18691877 120
Rutherford Hayes Republican 18221893 18771881 136.3
James Garfield Republican 18311881 1881 142.3
Chester Arthur Republican 18291886 18811885 142.3
Grover Cleveland Democratic 18371908 18851889, 18931897 134
Benjamin Harrison Republican 18331901 18891893 135.4
William McKinley Republican 18431901 18971901 133.4
Theodore Roosevelt Republican 18581919 19011909 143
William Howard Taft Republican 18571930 19091913 129.5
Woodrow Wilson Democratic 18561924 19131921 145.2
Warren Harding Republican 18651923 19211923 129.9
Calvin Coolidge Republican 18721933 19231929 131.6
Herbert Hoover Republican 18741964 19291933 131.6
Franklin Roosevelt Democratic 18821945 19331945 130.5
Harry Truman Democratic 18841972 19451953 129.8
Dwight Eisenhower Republican 18901969 19531961 135.1
John F. Kennedy Democratic 19171963 19611963 149.8 119[12]
Lyndon Johnson Democratic 19081973 19631969 130.6
Richard Nixon Republican 19131994 19691974 132.6 143[13]
Gerald Ford Republican 19132006 19741977 111
Jimmy Carter Democratic 1924present 19771981 153[14]
Ronald Reagan Republican 19112004 19811989 131.9
George H. W. Bush Republican 1924present 19891993 133
Bill Clinton Democratic 1946present 19932001 149
George W. Bush Republican 1946present 20012009 124.8 138.5 [15]
Barack Obama Democratic 1961present 2009present 145 140[16]

See also

References

  1. 1 2 "President Bush Has Lowest IQ of all Presidents of past 50 Years". snopes.com. 2004-07-15. Retrieved 2006-09-11.
  2. "The Lovenstein Institute - Scranton, PA". Lovenstein.org. Retrieved 2013-09-10.
  3. Baker, Peter (2006-08-20). "Pundits Renounce The President". Washington Post. Retrieved 2006-09-11.
  4. Walters, Simon (2006-08-19). "Blair 'feels betrayed by Bush on Lebanon'". Daily Mail. Retrieved 2006-09-11.
  5. Matthew Norman (2001-07-19). "Diary". The Guardian. Retrieved 2006-10-23.
  6. Matthew Norman (2001-08-16). "Diary". The Guardian. Retrieved 2006-10-23.
  7. ElPais.com (2007-03-13). "Diary". El País. Retrieved 2007-03-13.
  8. Aubrey Immelman: Bush gets bad rap on intelligence. In: St. Cloud Times. January 14, 2001
  9. 1 2 Dean Keith Simonton (August 2006). "Presidential IQ, Openness, Intellectual Brilliance, and Leadership: Estimates and Correlations for 42 U.S. Chief Executives" (PDF). Political Psychology. 27 (4): 511–526. doi:10.1111/j.1467-9221.2006.00524.x. Retrieved 2006-09-11.
  10. "How Smart Does a President Have to Be? | Britannica Blog". Britannica.com. 2013-09-06. Retrieved 2013-09-10.
  11. Thomas C. Reeves: Presidential IQ. In: History News Network. November 5, 2006
  12. Cecil Adams (2001-06-22). "Who was the stupidest U.S. president?". The Straight Dope. Retrieved 2013-09-10.
  13. "The President's daily decision, how Gotti got to the top, homicidal honchos, and other matters. THE MOST IMPORTANT STAT - July 15, 1991". Money.cnn.com. 1991-07-15. Retrieved 2013-09-10.
  14. Simonton's
  15. http://www.acsu.buffalo.edu/~jcampbel/documents/SimontonPresIQ2006.pdf
  16. http://pumpkinperson.com/2015/01/08/the-iq-of-president-obama/
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