Electorate opinion polling for the Australian federal election, 2016

Various research and polling firms conducted opinion polling prior to the 2016 federal election in individual electorates across Australia, in relation to voting intentions in the Australian House of Representatives.

New South Wales

Banks

Poll source	Date	1st	2nd	3rd	Other
Galaxy Research[lower-alpha 1][1][2] Margin of error: unknown Sample size: 501	10–11 May 2016	David Coleman 50%	Chris Gambian 50%
		David Coleman 44%	Chris Gambian 41%	Philippa Clark 6%	Other 5% Greg Bondar 4%

Cowper

Poll source	Date	1st	2nd	3rd	Other
ReachTEL[lower-alpha 2][3] Margin of error: unknown Sample size: 628	23 June 2016	Luke Hartsuyker 50%	Rob Oakeshott 50%
		Luke Hartsuyker 39.2%	Rob Oakeshott 31.8%	Damian Wood 9.7%	Carol Vernon 8.2% Undecided 5.3% Wayne Lawrence 3.0% John Arkan 2.2% Michael Gough 0.4%

Dobell

Poll source	Date	1st	2nd	3rd	Other
Galaxy Research[lower-alpha 1][2] Margin of error: unknown Sample size: 504	10–11 May 2016	Karen McNamara 50%	Emma McBride 50%
		Karen McNamara 43%	Emma McBride 40%	Abigail Boyd 7%	Other 6% Hadden Ervin 4%

Gilmore

Poll source	Date	1st	2nd	3rd	Other
Galaxy Research[lower-alpha 1][2] Margin of error: unknown Sample size: 559	10–11 May 2016	Ann Sudmalis 51%	Fiona Phillips 49%
		Ann Sudmalis 44%	Fiona Phillips 35%	Carmel McCallum 13%	Other 6% Steve Ryan 2%

Grayndler

Poll source	Date	1st	2nd	3rd	Other
Roy Morgan[4] Margin of error: unknown Sample size: ~310	11–12 June 2016
		Anthony Albanese 39.5%	David van Gogh 24.5%	Jim Casey 24%	Other 12%

Lindsay

Poll source	Date	1st	2nd	3rd	Other
Galaxy Research[lower-alpha 1][2] Margin of error: unknown Sample size: 554	10–11 May 2016	Fiona Scott 54%	Emma Husar 46%
		Fiona Scott 44%	Emma Husar 34%	Other 14%	Maurice Girotto 4% Kingsley Liu 4%

Macarthur

Poll source	Date	1st	2nd	3rd	Other
Galaxy Research[lower-alpha 1][2] Margin of error: unknown Sample size: 514	10–11 May 2016	Michael Freelander 51%	Russell Matheson 49%
		Michael Freelander 42%	Russell Matheson 41%	Other 9%	Ben Moroney 5% Christian Democratic candidate 3%
ReachTEL[5] Margin of error: unknown Sample size: 628	5 May 2016	Michael Freelander 51%	Russell Matheson 49%
		Michael Freelander 37.9%	Russell Matheson 37.9%	Undecided 10.7%	Ben Moroney 6.2% Other 5.3% Richard Bakoss 2.0%

New England

Poll source	Date	1st	2nd	3rd	Other
The Australian[6] Margin of error: ± 4.3% Sample size: 518	12 March 2016	Tony Windsor 52%	Barnaby Joyce 48%
ReachTEL[7] Margin of error: unknown Sample size: 712	11 January 2016	Barnaby Joyce 39.5%	Tony Windsor 32.2%	Labor candidate 11.2%	Independents 6.2% Greens candidate 4.6% Undecided 5.1% Palmer United candidate 1.3%

Reid

Poll source	Date	1st	2nd	3rd	Other
Galaxy Research[lower-alpha 1][2] Margin of error: unknown Sample size: 572	10–11 May 2016	Craig Laundy 51%	Angelo Tsirekas 49%
		Craig Laundy 44%	Angelo Tsirekas 38%	Alice Mantel 9%	Other 5% Chris Kang 4%

Richmond

Poll source	Date	1st	2nd	3rd	Other
Roy Morgan[4] Margin of error: unknown Sample size: ~310	11–12 June 2016
		Justine Elliott 31.0%	Matthew Fraser 28.5%	Dawn Walker 27%	Other 13.5%

Sydney

Poll source	Date	1st	2nd	3rd	Other
Roy Morgan[4] Margin of error: unknown Sample size: ~310	11–12 June 2016
		Tanya Plibersek 40%	Geoffrey Winters 26.5%	Sylvie Ellsmore 24.5%	Other 9%

South Australia

Grey

Poll source	Date	1st	2nd	3rd	Other
ReachTEL[8] Margin of error: unknown Sample size: 665	10–11 May 2016	Andrea Broadfoot 54%	Rowan Ramsey 46%
		Rowan Ramsey 38.0%	Andrea Broadfoot 29.3%	Scott Martin 13.5%	Undecided 8.3% Jillian Marsh 5.3% Charyl Kaminski 3.5% Other 2.3%

Tasmania

Bass

Poll source	Date	1st	2nd	3rd	Other
ReachTEL[lower-alpha 2][9][10] Margin of error: unknown Sample size: ~600	15 May 2016	Andrew Nikolic 51%	Ross Hart 49%
		Andrew Nikolic 46.2%	Ross Hart 36%	Terrill Riley-Gibson 9.7%	Jacquie Lambie Network candidate 4.9% Other 3.3%

Braddon

Poll source	Date	1st	2nd	3rd	Other
ReachTEL[lower-alpha 2][9][10] Margin of error: unknown Sample size: ~600	15 May 2016	Brett Whiteley 53%	Justine Keay 47%
		Brett Whiteley 46.4%	Justine Keay 34.4%	Jacquie Lambie Network candidate 8.9%	Scott Jordan 6.6% Other 3.5%

Denison

Poll source	Date	1st	2nd	3rd	Other
ReachTEL[lower-alpha 2][9][10] Margin of error: unknown Sample size: ~600	15 May 2016	Andrew Wilkie 66%	Marcus Allan 34%
		Andrew Wilkie 33.2%	Marcus Allan 27.3%	Jane Austin 22.1%	Jen Brown 13.3% Jacquie Lambie Network candidate 2.8% Other 1.5%

Franklin

Poll source	Date	1st	2nd	3rd	Other
ReachTEL[lower-alpha 2][9][10] Margin of error: unknown Sample size: ~600	15 May 2016	Julie Collins 54%	Amanda-Sue Markham 46%
		Amanda-Sue Markham 40.7%	Julie Collins 34.3%	Martine Delaney 15.9%	Other 5.8% Jacquie Lambie Network candidate 3.2%

Lyons

Poll source	Date	1st	2nd	3rd	Other
ReachTEL[lower-alpha 2][9][10] Margin of error: unknown Sample size: ~600	15 May 2016	Eric Hutchinson 51%	Brian Mitchell 49%
		Eric Hutchinson 45.8%	Brian Mitchell 29.2%	Hannah Rubenach-Quinn 13.3%	Jacquie Lambie Network candidate 6.5% Other 5.2%

Victoria

Batman

Poll source	Date	1st	2nd	3rd	Other
Roy Morgan[4] Margin of error: unknown Sample size: ~310	11–12 June 2016
		Alex Bhathal 40.0%	David Feeney 34.5%	George Souris 17.0%	Other 8.5%

Chisholm

Poll source	Date	1st	2nd	3rd	Other
ReachTEL[lower-alpha 2][11] Margin of error: unknown Sample size: 327	30 June 2016	Stefanie Perri 51%	Julia Banks 49%
		Julia Banks 41.5%	Stefanie Perri 37.7%	Josh Fergeus 15.1%	Craig McCracken 2.8% Nyree Walsh 1.6% Melanie Vassiliou 1.3%

Gellibrand

Poll source	Date	1st	2nd	3rd	Other
Roy Morgan[4] Margin of error: unknown Sample size: ~310	11–12 June 2016
		Tim Watts 40.5%	Jonathon Marsden 30%	Ben Willis 22%	Other 7%

Melbourne

Poll source	Date	1st	2nd	3rd	Other
Roy Morgan[4] Margin of error: unknown Sample size: ~310	11–12 June 2016
		Adam Bandt 40.5%	Sophie Ismail 34.5%	Philip Liu 18.5%	Other 6.5%

Melbourne Ports

Poll source	Date	1st	2nd	3rd	Other
Roy Morgan[4] Margin of error: unknown Sample size: ~310	11–12 June 2016
		Michael Danby 33%	Owen Guest 31%	Steph Hodgins-May 26%	Other 10%

Wills

Poll source	Date	1st	1st	2nd	3rd
Roy Morgan[4] Margin of error: unknown Sample size: ~310	11–12 June 2016	Peter Khalil 34.5%	Samantha Ratnam 34.5%	Kevin Hong 22%	Other 9%

Western Australia

Fremantle

Poll source	Date	1st	2nd	3rd	Other
Roy Morgan[4] Margin of error: unknown Sample size: ~310	11–12 June 2016
		Pierrette Kelly 38%	Josh Wilson 37%	Kate Davis 22%	Other 3%

Hasluck

Poll source	Date	1st	2nd	3rd	Other
ReachTEL[lower-alpha 2] Margin of error: unknown Sample size: 753	16 June 2016	Ken Wyatt 53%	Bill Leadbetter 47%
		Ken Wyatt 42.7%	Bill Leadbetter 28.2%	Patrick Hyslop 15.9%	Undecided 12.4% Henry Barnard 3.5% Phil Twiss 2.2%

References

Notes

1. Polling preference for the Galaxy Research poll originally by party – each party's candidate is listed here in place of the party name.
2. Polling preference for the Galaxy Research poll originally by party – each party's candidate is listed here in place of the party name.

Citations

1. Taylor, James (18 May 2016). "Labor send cavalry to most marginal Liberal seat in Sydney". Canterbury-Bankstown Express. News Corp Australia. Retrieved 19 May 2016.
2. "New South Wales Seat Polls May 10–11". Galaxy Research. 12 May 2016. Retrieved 19 May 2016.
3. "7 News - Cowper poll - 23 June 2016". ReachTEL. ReachTEL. 24 June 2016. Retrieved 2 July 2016.
4. "Melbourne's Batman set to turn Green at Federal Election". Roy Morgan Research. Roy Morgan Research. Retrieved 2 July 2016.
5. "7 News - Macarthur Poll - 5 May 2016". ReachTEL. 5 May 2016. Retrieved 23 May 2016.
6. Henderson, Anna (14 March 2016). "Barnaby Joyce claims 'underdog' status against Tony Windsor in fight to keep seat of New England". ABC News Australia. Australian Broadcasting Corporation. Retrieved 18 May 2016.
7. Chan, Gabrielle (29 February 2016). "Tony Windsor could beat Barnaby Joyce in New England seat, poll says". The Guardian. Guardian Media Group. Retrieved 18 May 2016.
8. "7 News - Grey poll - 9 June 2016". ReachTEL. ReachTEL. 10 June 2016. Retrieved 2 July 2016.
9. Clark, Nick (15 May 2016). "Shock Labor polling favour a worry for Liberals ahead of federal election". The Mercury. News Corp Australia. Retrieved 23 May 2016.
10. Bonham, Kevin (15 May 2016). "ReachTEL Points To Tasmanian Status Quo". Retrieved 23 May 2016.
11. "7 News - Chisholm poll - 30 June 2016". ReachTEL. ReachTEL. 1 July 2016. Retrieved 2 July 2016.