Murcian parliamentary election, 2015
Murcian parliamentary election, 2015
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All 45 seats in the Regional Assembly of Murcia
23 seats needed for a majority |
| Opinion polls |
| Registered |
1,027,159[1]  5.3% |
| Turnout |
645,410 (65.2%)
 2.7 pp |
| |
First party |
Second party |
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 |
.jpg) |
| Leader |
Pedro Antonio Sánchez |
Rafael González Tovar |
| Party |
PP |
PSOE |
| Leader since |
6 March 2015 |
23 March 2012 |
| Last election |
33 seats, 58.8% |
11 seats, 23.9% |
| Seats won |
22 |
13 |
| Seat change |
11 |
2 |
| Popular vote |
236,456 |
151,504 |
| Percentage |
37.4% |
24.0% |
| Swing |
21.4 pp |
0.1 pp |
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Third party |
Fourth party |
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.jpg) |
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| Leader |
Óscar Urralburu |
Miguel Sánchez López |
| Party |
Podemos |
C's |
| Leader since |
14 February 2015 |
17 March 2015 |
| Last election |
Did not contest |
Did not contest |
| Seats won |
6 |
4 |
| Seat change |
6 |
4 |
| Popular vote |
83,133 |
79,057 |
| Percentage |
13.1% |
12.5% |
| Swing |
New party |
New party |
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The 2015 Murcian parliamentary election was held on Sunday, 24 May 2015, to elect the 9th Regional Assembly of Murcia, the unicameral regional legislature of the Spanish autonomous community of Murcia. At stake were all 45 seats in the Regional Assembly, determining the President of the Region of Murcia.
The election was held concurrently with the regional elections for 12 other autonomous communities, as well as the 2015 municipal elections.
Electoral system
The number of seats in the Regional Assembly of Murcia is set to a fixed-number of 45. All Assembly members are elected in 5 multi-member districts using the D'Hondt method and a closed-list proportional representation system. Unlike other regions, districts do not coincide with provincial limits, being determined by law as such:
- District One, 7 seats, comprising the municipalities of: Lorca, Aguilas, Puerto Lumbreras, Totana, Alhama de Murcia, Librilla, Aledo and Mazarrón.
- District Two, 11 seats, comprising the municipalities of: Cartagena, La Unión, Fuente Alamo de Murcia, Torre-Pacheco, San Javier, San Pedro del Pinatar and Los Alcázares.
- District Three, 21 seats, comprising the municipalities of: Murcia, Alcantarilla, Beniel, Molina de Segura, Alguazas, Las Torres de Cotillas, Lorquí, Ceutí, Cieza, Abarán, Blanca, Archena, Ricote, Ulea, Villanueva del Río Segura, Ojós, Fortuna, Abanilla and Santomera.
- District Four, 4 seats, comprising the municipalities of: Caravaca, Cehegín, Calasparra, Moratalla, Bullas, Pliego, Mula, Albudeite and Campos del Río.
- District Five, 2 seats, comprising the municipalities of: Jumilla and Yecla.
Voting is on the basis of universal suffrage in a secret ballot. Only lists polling above 5% of valid votes in all of the community (which include blank ballots—for none of the above) are entitled to enter the seat distribution. This means that in the case a list polls above 5% in one or more of the districts but below 5% in the community totals, it will remain outside of the seat apportionment.[2]
Opinion polls
Vote
Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. Poll results use the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. However, if such date is unknown, the date of publication will be given instead.
Seat projections
Opinion polls showing seat projections are displayed in the table below. The highest seat figures in each polling survey have their background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. 23 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Regional Assembly of Murcia.
23 seats needed for majority
| Date |
Polling Firm/Source |
PP |
PSOE |
IU |
UPyD |
C's |
P |
Others |
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| 24 May 2015 |
Regional Election |
22 |
13 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
6 |
0 |
| 24 May |
GAD3 |
21−23 |
12−13 |
0 |
0 |
5−6 |
4−6 |
0 |
| Exit polls |
| 17 May |
GAD3 |
22 |
12−13 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
4−5 |
0 |
| 17 May |
NC-Report |
20−21 |
11−12 |
0 |
0 |
7−8 |
6−7 |
0 |
| 4–10 May |
CEMOP |
18−20 |
11 |
0 |
0 |
9−11 |
5 |
0 |
| 23 Mar–19 Apr |
CIS |
21−22 |
11−12 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
6 |
0 |
| 4–16 Mar |
NC-Report |
20−22 |
9−11 |
0−1 |
0 |
7−8 |
6−7 |
0 |
| 2 Feb–6 Mar |
CEMOP |
20 |
10 |
1 |
0 |
6 |
8 |
0 |
| 2–13 Feb |
CEMOP |
21−22 |
10−11 |
1 |
0 |
3−4 |
8−9 |
0 |
| 2015 |
| 19 Oct |
PP |
21−24 |
4−5 |
0 |
7−8 |
0 |
10−13 |
0 |
| 26 Sep |
Ganemos |
21−22 |
9−10 |
w.P |
3 |
0 |
12 |
0 |
| 13 Apr |
Sigma-2 |
25−26 |
12−13 |
3 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| 2014 |
| 24 Nov |
Celeste-Tel |
22−23 |
13−14 |
4−5 |
4−5 |
0 |
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0 |
| 15 Oct–12 Nov |
NC-Report |
24−25 |
12−13 |
4−5 |
3−4 |
0 |
0 |
| 15 Apr–10 May |
NC-Report |
23−24 |
12−13 |
4−5 |
4−5 |
0 |
0 |
| 2013 |
| 2012 |
| 22 May 2011 |
Regional Election |
33 |
11 |
1 |
0 |
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0 |
Results
Overall
← Summary of the 24 May 2015 Murcian Regional Assembly election results
| |
| Party |
Vote |
Seats |
| Votes |
% |
±pp |
Won |
+/− |
|
People's Party (PP) |
236,456 | 37.39 | 21.40 |
22 | 11 |
|
Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) |
151,504 | 23.96 | 0.08 |
13 | 2 |
|
We Can (Podemos) |
83,133 | 13.15 | New |
6 | 6 |
|
Citizens-Party of the Citizenry (C's) |
79,057 | 12.50 | New |
4 | 4 |
| |
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Win the Region of Murcia-Plural Left (IP) |
30,423 | 4.81 | 3.02 |
0 | 1 |
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Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD) |
10,247 | 1.62 | 2.88 |
0 | ±0 |
|
Cartagena Citizen Movement (MCCartagena) |
8,582 | 1.36 | New |
0 | ±0 |
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Citizens of Democratic Centre (CCD) |
6,951 | 1.10 | New |
0 | ±0 |
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Vox (VOX) |
5,513 | 0.87 | New |
0 | ±0 |
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Animalist Party Against Mistreatment of Animals (PACMA) |
4,731 | 0.75 | New |
0 | ±0 |
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Blank Seats (Eb) |
1,977 | 0.31 | New |
0 | ±0 |
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Zero Cuts (Recortes Cero) |
1,430 | 0.23 | 0.12 |
0 | ±0 |
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Citizen Democratic Renewal Movement (RED) |
909 | 0.14 | New |
0 | ±0 |
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Communist Party of the Peoples of Spain (PCPE) |
752 | 0.12 | New |
0 | ±0 |
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Centre and Democracy Forum (CyD) |
749 | 0.12 | 0.01 |
0 | ±0 |
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Spain Underway (LEM) |
86 | 0.01 | New |
0 | ±0 |
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Blank ballots |
9,929 | 1.57 | 0.59 |
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| Total |
632,429 | 100.00 | |
45 | ±0 |
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| Valid votes |
632,429 | 97.99 | 0.38 |
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| Invalid votes |
12,981 | 2.01 | 0.38 |
| Votes cast / turnout |
645,410 | 65.22 | 2.69 |
| Abstentions |
344,222 | 34.78 | 2.69 |
| Registered voters |
989,632 | |
| |
| Source: Argos Information Portal |
| Vote share |
|---|
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| PP |
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37.39% |
| PSOE |
|
23.96% |
| Podemos |
|
13.15% |
| C's |
|
12.50% |
| IP |
|
4.81% |
| UPyD |
|
1.62% |
| MCCartagena |
|
1.36% |
| CCD |
|
1.10% |
| Others |
|
2.55% |
| Blank ballots |
|
1.57% |
| Parliamentary seats |
|---|
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| PP |
|
48.89% |
| PSOE |
|
28.89% |
| Podemos |
|
13.33% |
| C's |
|
8.89% |
Notes
- 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Poll results are shown projected over candidacy votes (that is, votes going for political parties, excluding blank ballots). The vote percentage in the official election is calculated including blank ballots into the estimation. In order to obtain data comparable to both the official results as well as those of other polls, a rule of three has been applied to the poll projections, with the results of the calculation being shown instead.
References
