United States presidential election in Florida, 2016

United States presidential election in Florida, 2016
Florida
November 8, 2016
 
Nominee Donald Trump Hillary Clinton
Party Republican Democratic
Home state New York New York
Running mate Mike Pence Tim Kaine
Electoral vote 29 0
Popular vote 4,617,886 4,504,975
Percentage 49.0% 47.8%

County Results

  Trump—40-50%
  Trump—50-60%
  Trump—60-70%
  Trump—70-80%
  Trump—80-90%
  Clinton—50-60%
  Clinton—60-70%

President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

 Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

The 2016 United States presidential election in Florida was held on November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 General Election in which all 50 states plus The District of Columbia participated. Florida voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and her running mate, Virginia Senator Tim Kaine.

On March 15, 2016, in the presidential primaries, Florida voters expressed their preferences for the Democratic, Republican, Libertarian, America's Party, Constitution, and Socialism and Liberation parties' respective nominees for President (Green on July 31). Registered members of each party only voted in their party's primary, while voters who were unaffiliated weren't able to vote in any primaries. Florida is a 'winner take all' voting state for Republicans, but is a proportional voting state for Democrats.

Florida voted for the president-elect, Donald Trump by a narrow margin of 1.2%.[1] Prior to the election, all 12 news organizations considered Florida a toss-up, and it was one of the closest states, with only Wisconsin, Michigan, New Hampshire and Pennsylvania closer. Hillary Clinton received 47.8% of the vote, compared to Donald Trump's 49.1%. The Republican Party received 612,923 more popular votes in the primaries than the Democratic Party, whereas in 2008, the Republican Party had only received 368,044 more votes than the Democratic Party.

Trump's narrow victory continued Florida's tradition of being a swing state in presidential elections, having not voted for a losing candidate since 1992.

Primary elections

Democratic primary

Debates and Forums

March 9, 2016 – Miami, Florida

Candidate Airtime Polls[2]
Clinton 23:29 51.0%
Sanders 17:51 39.6%

The eighth debate took place on March 9, 2016, at 9:00 PM Eastern Standard Time in Building 7 of the Kendall Campus of Miami Dade College in Miami, Florida. It was broadcast through a partnership between Univision and The Washington Post.[3][4] The debate was discussed during a job interview conducted in early 2015 between the Democratic National Committee's then-Communications Director Mo Elleithee and future Hispanic Media Director Pablo Manriquez. After starting at the DNC in April 2015, Manriquez "talked about the idea for a debate for Democratic candidates on Univision to anyone who had ears to listen."[5] The debate was officially announced on November 2, 2015.[6]

Opinion polling

Results

Election results by county.
  Hillary Clinton
  Bernie Sanders

Three candidates appeared on the Democratic presidential primary ballot:

 Democratic Party's presidential nominating process in Florida, 2016
– Summary of results –
Candidate Popular vote Estimated delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Hillary Clinton 1,101,414 64.44% 141 24 165
Bernie Sanders 568,839 33.28% 73 2 75
Martin O'Malley (withdrawn) 38,930 2.28%
Uncommitted N/A 0 6 6
Total 1,709,183 100% 214 32 246
Source: The Green Papers, Florida Division of Elections - Official Primary Results
Florida Democratic primary, March 15, 2016
District Delegates Votes Clinton Votes Sanders Votes Qualified Clinton delegates Sanders delegates
1 3 26987 18497 45484 2 1
2 6 50190 34073 84263 4 2
3 4 32070 27974 60044 2 2
4 4 33920 22765 56685 2 2
5 6 55855 18639 74494 4 2
6 5 37995 24443 62438 3 2
7 5 37410 26795 64205 3 2
8 5 39384 24376 63760 3 2
9 5 40609 19880 60489 3 2
10 5 38011 22213 60224 3 2
11 5 38061 21590 59651 3 2
12 5 35498 23172 58670 3 2
13 6 44121 29707 73828 4 2
14 6 49146 23617 72763 4 2
15 5 32793 20712 53505 3 2
16 6 43921 25856 69777 4 2
17 4 29899 17045 46944 3 1
18 6 42804 20620 63424 4 2
19 4 31958 17235 49193 3 1
20 7 61998 15761 77759 6 1
21 7 57723 22100 79823 5 2
22 6 49602 22209 71811 4 2
23 6 44510 19974 64484 4 2
24 8 59274 13893 73167 6 2
25 3 24897 9287 34184 2 1
26 4 32069 14148 46217 3 1
27 4 30709 12258 42967 3 1
Total 140 1101414 568839 1670253 93 47
PLEO 28 1101414 568839 1670253 18 10
At Large 46 1101414 568839 1670253 30 16
Gr. Total 214 1101414 568839 1670253 141 73
Total vote 64.44% 33.28% 1,709,183
Source: Florida Department of State Division of Elections

Republican primary

Forums and Debates

March 10, 2016 – Coral Gables, Florida

Candidate Airtime Polls[7]
Trump 27:21 36.0%
Cruz 21:42 21.8%
Rubio 21:23 18.0%
Kasich 18:49 12.0%

The twelfth debate was the fourth and final debate to air on CNN and led into the Florida, Illinois, North Carolina, Missouri, and Ohio primaries on March 15. The candidates debated at the University of Miami, moderated by Jake Tapper and questioned by CNN chief political correspondent Dana Bash, Salem Radio Network talk-show host Hugh Hewitt, and Washington Times contributor Stephen Dinan. The Washington Times cohosted the debate.[8] The debate was originally scheduled considering the unlikelihood that a candidate would clinch the Republican nomination before March 15, due to the overall size of the field.[9] On the day of the debate, CNN summarized the immediate stakes: "This debate comes just five days ahead of 'Super Tuesday 3', when more than 350 delegates are decided, including winner-take-all contests in Florida and Ohio. Both Trump and Rubio are predicting [a win in] Florida. For Trump, a win here would fuel his growing momentum and further grow his delegate lead; for Rubio, losing his home state could be the death knell for his campaign."[10] This was the twelfth and final debate appearance of Rubio, who suspended his campaign on March 15.[11]

Results

Election results by county.
  Donald Trump
  Marco Rubio

Twelve candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot:

Florida Republican primary, March 15, 2016
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
Donald Trump 1,079,870 45.72% 99 0 99
Marco Rubio 638,661 27.04% 0 0 0
Ted Cruz 404,891 17.14% 0 0 0
John Kasich 159,976 6.77% 0 0 0
Jeb Bush (withdrawn) 43,511 1.84% 0 0 0
Ben Carson (withdrawn) 21,207 0.90% 0 0 0
Rand Paul (withdrawn) 4,450 0.19% 0 0 0
Mike Huckabee (withdrawn) 2,624 0.11% 0 0 0
Chris Christie (withdrawn) 2,493 0.11% 0 0 0
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn) 1,899 0.08% 0 0 0
Rick Santorum (withdrawn) 1,211 0.05% 0 0 0
Lindsey Graham (withdrawn) 693 0.03% 0 0 0
Jim Gilmore (withdrawn) 319 0.01% 0 0 0
Unprojected delegates: 0 0 0
Total: 2,361,805 100.00% 99 0 99
Source: The Green Papers

Green primary

The Green Party held a primary in Florida on July 31, 2016. Early voting began on July 25.[12]

On July 31, 2016, the Green Party of Florida announced that Jill Stein had won the Florida primary via instant-runoff voting.

Green Party of Florida Primary - First Round
Candidate Votes Percentage National delegates
Jill Stein 18 52.9%
Elijah Manley 14 41.2%
William Kreml 1 2.94%
Kent Mesplay 1 2.94%
Sedinam Curry 0
Darryl Cherney 0
Total 34 100%
Green Party of Florida Primary - Second Round
Candidate Votes Percentage National delegates
Jill Stein 19 55.9%
Elijah Manley 14 41.2%
William Kreml 1 2.94%
Total 34 100
Green Party of Florida Primary - Third Round
Candidate Votes Percentage National delegates
Jill Stein 20 58.8% 15
Elijah Manley 14 41.2% 10
Total 34 100 25

Polling

General election

Predictions

The following are final 2016 predictions from various organizations for Florida as of Election Day.

  1. Los Angeles Times: Leans Clinton[13]
  2. CNN: Tossup[14]
  3. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Leans Clinton[15]
  4. NBC: Tossup[16]
  5. Electoral-vote.com: Tossup[17]
  6. RealClearPolitics: Tossup[18]
  7. Fox News: Tossup[19]
  8. ABC: Tossup[20]

Results

United States presidential election in Florida, 2016 [21]
Party Candidate Running mate Votes % Electoral votes
Republican Donald Trump Mike Pence 4,617,886 49.0% 29
Democratic Hillary Clinton Tim Kaine 4,504,975 47.8% 0
Libertarian Gary Johnson William Weld 207,043 2.2% 0
Green Jill Stein Ajamu Baraka 64,399 0.7% 0
Constitution Darrell Castle Scott Bradley 16,475 0.2% 0
Reform Rocky De La Fuente Michael Steinberg 9,108 0.1% 0
Total 9,419,886 100.0% 29

See also

References

  1. ↑ "Florida Election Results 2016 – The New York Times". Retrieved November 10, 2016.
  2. ↑ RealClearPolitics.com"
  3. ↑ "Miami Dade College To Host Democratic Presidential Debate". wlrn.org. Retrieved 2016-01-08.
  4. ↑ "DNC/Florida Democratic Party Primary Debate Hosted by Univision News and The Washington Post to Take Place at the Nation's Largest and Most Diverse College, Miami Dade College, on March 9, 2016 - Univision". Univision. Retrieved 2016-01-08.
  5. ↑ Avendaño, Alberto (2015-12-18). "Él impulsa el debate hispano entre los precandidatos demócratas". The Washington Post. ISSN 0190-8286. Retrieved 2016-01-08.
  6. ↑ "Univision/Washington Post Democratic debate to be held March 9". POLITICO. Retrieved 2016-01-08.
  7. ↑ "RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - 2016 Republican Presidential Nomination".
  8. ↑ Wemple, Erik (January 20, 2016). "CNN partnering with the Washington Times for March 10 debate in Miami". The Washington Post. ISSN 0190-8286. Retrieved February 13, 2016.
  9. ↑ "CNN announces March debate in Florida". Politico. Retrieved January 18, 2016.
  10. ↑ "Republican Debate in Miami: What to Watch". CNN.com. March 10, 2016.
  11. ↑ Peters, Jeremy; Barbaro, Michael (March 15, 2016). "Marco Rubio Suspends His Presidential Campaign". The New York Times. Retrieved March 15, 2016.
  12. ↑ "2016 Presidential Primary". Green Party of Florida. May 5, 2016. Retrieved June 1, 2016.
  13. ↑ "Campaign 2016 updates: Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton traverse the country in final push". Retrieved 9 November 2016 – via LA Times.
  14. ↑ Director, David Chalian, CNN Political. "Road to 270: CNN's new election map". Retrieved 9 November 2016.
  15. ↑ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2016 President". Retrieved 9 November 2016.
  16. ↑ "NBC's final battleground map shows a lead for Clinton". Retrieved 9 November 2016.
  17. ↑ "ElectoralVote". Retrieved 9 November 2016.
  18. ↑ "RealClearPolitics - 2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House". Retrieved 9 November 2016.
  19. ↑ "Fox News Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge". 7 November 2016. Retrieved 9 November 2016.
  20. ↑ News, A. B. C. (8 November 2016). "The Final 15: Latest Polls in Swing States". Retrieved 9 November 2016.
  21. ↑ "Florida Election Results". Retrieved November 10, 2016.
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