United States Senate election in Wisconsin, 2010
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Elections in Wisconsin |
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The 2010 United States Senate election in Wisconsin was held on November 2, 2010. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Russ Feingold ran for re-election to a fourth term, but was defeated by political newcomer,[1] Republican Ron Johnson.
Republican primary
Candidates
- On the ballot
- Stephen Finn, plumber[1]
- Ron Johnson, businessman[2]
- Dave Westlake, businessman[3]
- Declined
- Ted Kanavas, State Senator[2]
- Dick Leinenkugel (dropped out), former State Commerce Secretary[4]
- Tommy Thompson, former Governor of Wisconsin
- Terrence Wall (dropped out), real estate developer[5]
Campaign
Former Republican Governor of Wisconsin Tommy Thompson had expressed an interest in challenging Feingold,[6] but ruled himself out of the race in April 2010.[7]
Johnson, a millionaire manufacturer and Tea Party movement favorite who was running for his first political office, was the front runner. In response to controversy over his ownership of stock in British Petroleum (BP), Johnson said he would sell it when market conditions were favorable and possibly use the proceeds to help finance his Senate campaign.[8] Johnson was endorsed by the national GOP establishment as well as the fiscally conservative 501(c)4 organization Club for Growth. Former Wisconsin Republican Lt. Governor Margaret Farrow and Republican U.S. Senator Jim DeMint of South Carolina endorsed Johnson,[9][10] as did Wisconsin Republican U.S. Representatives Jim Sensenbrenner, Tom Petri and Paul Ryan.[11] Westlake was endorsed by the Republican Liberty Caucus.[12] According to the Center for Responsive Politics, as of August 25, 2010, Johnson had invested $4.3 million of his own money into his campaign, which represented 71 percent of his campaign funds, while 27 percent of his campaign funds ($1.6 million) came from individual contributions.[13]
Polling
Poll Source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of Error |
Ron Johnson | Dave Westlake | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (report) | June 26-27, 2010 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 49% | 11% | –– | 40% |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Ron Johnson | 500,821 | 84.7 | |
Republican | David Westlake | 61,287 | 10.4 | |
Republican | Stephen M. Finn | 29,002 | 4.9 | |
Total votes | 591,107 | 100 | ||
General election
Candidates
- Russ Feingold (D), incumbent U.S. senator
- Ron Johnson (R), businessman
- Dave Rutowski (I)
- Rob Taylor (I) self-described Constitution Party candidate[15][16]
Campaign
Feingold's first television ad was a positive ad released in March. In July 2010, Feingold's second 2010 television election ad attacked Johnson for alleged support for offshore drilling in the Great Lakes. Johnson quickly countered Feingold with a television ad of his own.[17] Feingold's logo was Moving Forward. In one ad he emphasized independence and called himself a "Penny Pincher." [18] Johnson argued that his professions, manufacturer and accountant were underrepresented in the U.S. Senate, and there were too many lawyers (57 out of 100 members), including Feingold.[19] Feingold received the endorsements of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel and the Green Bay Press-Gazette.[20] The Beloit Daily News endorsed Johnson.[21]
Debates
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
Cook Political Report | Leans R[24] | October 31, 2010 |
Rothenberg | Leans R[25] | October 28, 2010 |
RealClearPolitics | Leans R[26] | October 31, 2010 |
Rasmussen Reports | Leans R[27] | October 30, 2010 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball | Leans R[28] | October 28, 2010 |
CQ Politics | Leans R[29] | October 31, 2010 |
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Russ Feingold (D) |
Ron Johnson (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports | May 25, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 46% | 44% | 3% | 6% |
Rasmussen Reports | June 21, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 46% | 45% | 3% | 6% |
Public Policy Polling | June 26-27, 2010 | 638 | ± 3.9% | 45% | 43% | –– | 12% |
Rasmussen Reports | July 13, 2010 | 750 | ± 4.0% | 46% | 47% | 2% | 6% |
University of Wisconsin, Madison | July 15, 2010 | 500 | ± 3.9% | 33% | 28% | –– | 44% |
Magellan Strategies | July 20, 2010 | 1,145 | ± 2.9% | 45% | 43% | 3.7% | 8% |
Rasmussen Reports | July 27, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.0% | 46% | 48% | 2% | 5% |
Rasmussen Reports | August 11, 2010 | 750 | ± 4.0% | 46% | 47% | 2% | 5% |
Rasmussen Reports | August 24, 2010 | 750 | ± 4.0% | 46% | 47% | 1% | 5% |
Rasmussen Reports | September 15, 2010 | 750 | ± 4.0% | 44% | 51% | 1% | 4% |
Public Policy Polling | September 18-19, 2010 | –– | ± 3.8% | 41% | 52% | –– | 7% |
CNN/Time/Opinion Research | September 17-21, 2010 | 963 | ± 3.0% | 45% | 51% | 2% | 2% |
McClatchy/Marist | September 26-28, 2010 | 806 | ± 3.5% | 45% | 52% | 1% | 3% |
Rasmussen Reports | September 29, 2010 | 750 | ± 4.0% | 42% | 54% | 2% | 2% |
We the People | September 29-Oct. 4, 2010 | 400 | ± 5.0% | 41% | 49% | –– | –– |
We the People/Ispos | October 8, 2010 | 400 | ± 5.0% | 44% | 51% | –– | –– |
Rasmussen Reports | October 11, 2010 | 750 | ± 4.0% | 45% | 52% | –– | 2% |
CNN/Time/Opinion Research | October 8-12, 2010 | 1,506 | ± 2.5% | 44% | 52% | 1% | –– |
St. Norbert College/WPR | October 12-15, 2010 | 402 | ± 5.0% | 47% | 49% | –– | 4% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 25, 2010 | 750 | ± 4.0% | 46% | 53% | 0% | 1% |
We the People | October 24-27, 2010 | 400 | ± 5.0% | 44% | 48% | –– | 6% |
Public Policy Polling | October 26-28, 2010 | 1,372 | ± 2.6% | 44% | 53% | –– | 3% |
Marist College | October 26-28, 2010 | 811 | ± 4.5% | 45% | 52% | 1% | 2% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of Error |
Russ Feingold (D) |
David Westlake (R) |
Other | Unde- cided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (report) | June 26-27, 2010 | 638 | ± 3.9% | 45% | 38% | -- | 17% |
Rasmussen Reports (report) | June 21, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 47% | 41% | 4% | 7% |
Rasmussen Reports (report) | May 25, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 47% | 38% | 7% | 8% |
Public Policy Polling (report) | March 23, 2010 | 700 | ± 3.7% | 48% | 31% | — | 21% |
Rasmussen Reports (report) | March 16, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 51% | 35% | 5% | 10% |
Rasmussen Reports (report) | February 17, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 47% | 37% | 6% | 10% |
Public Policy Polling (report) | November 20-22, 2009 | 767 | ± 3.5% | 47% | 32% | — | 21% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of Error |
Russ Feingold (D) |
Tommy Thompson (R) |
Other | Unde- cided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (report) | March 23, 2010 | 700 | ± 3.7% | 47% | 44% | — | 9% |
Rasmussen Reports (report) | March 16, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 45% | 47% | 3% | 4% |
WPRI (report) | March 9, 2010 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 39% | 51% | — | 9% |
Rasmussen Reports (report) | February 17, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 43% | 48% | 3% | 5% |
Rasmussen Reports (report) | January 26, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 43% | 47% | 6% | 4% |
Public Policy Polling (report) | November 20-22, 2009 | 767 | ± 3.5% | 50% | 41% | — | 10% |
WPRI (report) | September 27-29, 2009 | 700 | ± 3.8% | 39% | 43% | — | 18% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of Error |
Russ Feingold (D) |
Terrence Wall (R) |
Other | Unde- cided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (report) | March 23, 2010 | 700 | ± 3.7% | 48% | 34% | — | 18% |
Rasmussen Reports (report) | March 16, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 49% | 40% | 3% | 9% |
WPRI (report) | March 9, 2010 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 47% | 32% | 6% | 7% |
Rasmussen Reports (report) | February 17, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 47% | 39% | 6% | 7% |
Public Policy Polling (report) | November 20-22, 2009 | 767 | ± 3.5% | 48% | 34% | — | 19% |
Fundraising
Through 12/31/2010
Candidate (Party) | Net Receipts | Disbursements | Beginning Cash | Latest Cash On Hand | Debt |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Russ Feingold (D) | $13,947,563 | $15,544,093 | $2,516,119 | $919,585 | $0 |
Ron Johnson (R) | $15,509,297 | $15,316,651 | $0 | $192,646 | $8,708,465 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[30] |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ± | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Ron Johnson | 1,125,999 | 51.86 | +7.75 | |
Democratic | Russ Feingold (incumbent) | 1,020,958 | 47.02 | -8.33 | |
Constitution | Rob Taylor | 23,473 | 1.08 | N/A | |
Write-In Votes | 901 | 0.04 | N/A | ||
Majority | 105,041 | 4.84 | -6.4 | ||
Turnout | 2,170,430 | 100 | -26.4 | ||
Republican gain from Democratic | |||||
References
- 1 2 Umhoefer, Dave and Don Walker. "Johnson leads race for GOP Senate bid: 2 lesser-known foes fight for recognition, funds" Milwaukee Journal Sentinel September 4, 2010
- 1 2 "GOP's Ron Johnson announces Senate run while in La Crosse". WKOW. April 15, 2010. Retrieved May 19, 2010.
- ↑ Drake, Bruce (January 28, 2010). "Feingold May Be Vulnerable If Thompson Seeks His Wisconsin Senate Seat". Politics Daily. Retrieved January 28, 2010.
- ↑ "Leinenkugel abruptly exits - David Catanese". Politico.Com. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
- ↑ Giroux, Greg (2010-05-27). "Wisconsin: Wall Confirms Decision To End Senate Bid - The Eye (CQ Politics)". Blogs.cqpolitics.com. Archived from the original on October 29, 2010. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
- ↑ "Ex-Gov Thompson Being Pushed To Run For Senate". WTAQ. January 26, 2010. Archived from the original on 18 July 2011. Retrieved January 28, 2010.
- ↑ "Thompson tells tea party rally he won't run for U.S. Senate". JS Online. April 15, 2010. Retrieved April 16, 2010.
- ↑ "Attack Ad Puts Feingold Foe On Defensive Over Great Lakes Drilling - The Eye (CQ Politics)". Blogs.cqpolitics.com. 2010-07-14. Archived from the original on July 19, 2010. Retrieved 2010-08-21.
- ↑ "Ron Johnson". Ronjohnsonforsenate.com. Archived from the original on July 24, 2010. Retrieved 2010-08-21.
- ↑ "Club For Growth Puts Muscle Into More Races - The Eye (CQ Politics)". Blogs.cqpolitics.com. 2010-07-14. Retrieved 2010-08-21.
- ↑ "Ron Johnson". Ronjohnsonforsenate.com. 2010-07-12. Archived from the original on July 27, 2010. Retrieved 2010-08-21.
- ↑ "Endorsed Candidates – 2010 | Republican Liberty Caucus". Rlc.org. Archived from the original on August 13, 2010. Retrieved 2010-08-21.
- ↑ Center for Responsive Politics, Aug 25 2010, accessed Oct 1 2010, http://www.opensecrets.org/races/summary.php?id=WIS2&cycle=2010
- ↑ The 2010 Results Maps - POLITICO.com
- ↑ Rob Taylor for Senate website
- ↑ "Real estate developer launches Senate campaign". WQOW. January 20, 2010. Retrieved January 28, 2010.
- ↑ "Johnson Quick to Counterattack Feingold on Oil Ad". WNCT. Archived from the original on July 18, 2010. Retrieved July 15, 2010.
- ↑ Washington-based group airs ad attacking Feingold - JSOnline
- ↑ PolitiFact Wisconsin | Ron Johnson says there are 57 lawyers, including Russ Feingold, in the U.S. Senate
- ↑ [http://www.wisn.com/r/25508115/detail.html Wis. Newspapers Unveil Election Endorsements Archived March 6, 2012, at the Wayback Machine.
- ↑ "Johnson Leads Polls, Feingold Leads Endorsements". 620 WTMJ. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 27, 2010.
- ↑ Ramde, Dinesh (2010-10-12). Written at Wausau, Wisconsin. "Feingold and Johnson spar over funding of attack ads". Chippewa Herald. Chippewa Falls, Wisconsin. Associated Press. Retrieved 2016-06-16.
- ↑ Feingold holds roundtable discussion in Eau Claire - WQOW TV: Eau Claire, WI NEWS18 News, Weather, and Sports
- ↑ "Senate". Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 31, 2010.
- ↑ "Senate Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 31, 2010.
- ↑ "Battle for the Senate". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved October 31, 2010.
- ↑ "Election 2010: Senate Balance Of Power". Rasmussen Reports. Retrieved October 31, 2010.
- ↑ "2010 Senate Ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 31, 2010.
- ↑ "Race Ratings Chart: Senate". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 31, 2010.
- ↑ "Summary Reports Search Results - 2009-2010 Cycle". fec.gov. Retrieved July 9, 2011.
- ↑ "2010 Fall General Election" (PDF). State of Wisconsin. 2010-12-01. Retrieved 2015-03-30.
External links
- Elections & Voting at the Wisconsin Government Accountability Board
- U.S. Congress candidates for Wisconsin at Project Vote Smart
- Wisconsin U.S. Senate from OurCampaigns.com
- Campaign contributions from Open Secrets
- 2010 Wisconsin Senate General Election: All Head-to-Head Matchups graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
- Election 2010: Wisconsin Senate from Rasmussen Reports
- 2010 Wisconsin Senate Race from Real Clear Politics
- 2010 Wisconsin Senate Race from CQ Politics
- Race profile from The New York Times
- Election 2010 news coverage at the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel
- Official campaign websites